This seems a bit light to me, granted that records aren't everything. But Morgan State finished second in the MEAC at 10-4 and Delaware State last at at 2-12. The Bears closed winning 10 of 12, swept the season series and KenPom ranks them 10 spots higher -- both among the worst nationally. The 1-2 punch of All-MEAC picks Alfred Worrell Jr. and Elijah Davis, both transfers, should be enough for Morgan State to bring this home. DSU ranks No. 3 in the MEAC in defense but last in scoring (61.0 PPG) and in 3-pointers per game (4.8). Morgan State is No. 2 in 3-point defense.
Morgan State swept the regular-season meetings, 82-68 at home and 80-79 on the road, and should advance to the MEAC semifinals. The Bears have won and covered four of their last five, the loss coming to conference leader Howard. Delaware State ranks dead last in the conference in shooting percentage (39.5) and opponent field-goal percentage (47.4). I would play this up to -3.
