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The Broncos likely secured their first NCAA Tournament bid in 30 years on the strength of their upset win over Saint Mary's in the WCC semifinals to advance to their first final in 19 years. This is a legitimate NCAA-worthy Santa Clara club but it faces a tough turnaround against a Gonzaga club that is looking to shake off a somewhat lackluster effort against Oregon State in the semifinals. This is likely Mark Few's most talented team since the 2021 team that reached the NCAA title game, and we expect a sharp performance that leads to a double-figure win and another WCC title.
The two regular season meetings generated more scoring than this total. However, with Gonzaga winning both by a combined 20 points, the guess is that Santa Clara will ease off the accelerator a bit. The Broncos do not play terribly fast, with a possessions-per-game ranking of 130, and their WCC outings wound up with 144 and 147 points. Gonzaga's lone game ended 65-56, extending the Bulldogs' Under streak to five games. Both teams' league games averaged a total of 155 points, below this number.
This number is 75.5 at both BetMGM and DK if you can get it. Bet up to 76.5. These two teams fly up and down the court every time they play. Santa Clara has gone over this total six straight times against Gonzaga with the games averaging 174 total points. The other thing I like here is Santa Clara shoots 78 percent from the foul line, so we should be in good shape if the game is competitive late. I'll take over 75.5 for a half unit.
Team Injuries








