Tue, Feb 177:00 pm ETMoody Coliseum

Louisville

Cardinals

LVILLE

Last 5 ATS

W/L18-9

ATS16-15

O/U14-17-0

FINAL SCORE

SMU

Mustangs

SMU

Last 5 ATS

W/L19-12

ATS12-18

O/U19-11-1

Last 5 ATS

18-9

Win /Loss

19-12

16-15

Spread

12-18

14-17-0

Over / Under

19-11-1

SPREAD

MONEYLINE

OVER/UNDER

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Team Injuries

OPPONENT	W/L	ATS	ML	O/U
@MIAMI03/07/2026	92-89WIN	+1.5WIN	+102WIN	157.5OVER
CUSE03/03/2026	62-77WIN	-14.5WIN	-1449WIN	160UNDER
@CLEM02/28/2026	75-80LOSS	-2.5LOSS	-139LOSS	146.5OVER
@UNC02/23/2026	74-77LOSS	-3.5LOSS	-192LOSS	162.5UNDER
GATECH02/21/2026	70-87WIN	-23.5LOSS	-7143WIN	167UNDER

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Feb 17 2026, 7:00 pm ET

Cardinals

@ Mustangs

Point SpreadSMU +4.5 -120

WIN

Unit0.5

Matt Severance

Severance Pays

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Matt's Analysis:

How much is home-court worth in college basketball? Certainly not 14 points -- which is what SMU lost by to the Cardinals on Jan. 31. But the Mustangs simply are a different club at home at 14-2, with their two losses by five total points. And that first score was misleading with SMU leading by at the half in Louisville. The Cards are 2-5 ATS away. I wouldn't go any lower than this, but our model has a one-point UofL victory. We can't lose on a 4-point play at least.

Pick Made: Feb 17, 5:53 pm ET on FanDuel

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