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Thu, Mar 2811:39 pm UTCTD Garden
San Diego State
Aztecs
SDGST
Last 5 ATS
W/L24-11
ATS15-19
O/U17-16-1
FINAL SCORE
52
-
82
Connecticut
Huskies
UCONN
Last 5 ATS
W/L32-3
ATS27-12
O/U16-23-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
24-11
Win /Loss
32-3
15-19
Spread
27-12
17-16-1
Over / Under
16-23-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
SDGST @ UCONN
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MONEYLINE
SDGST @ UCONN
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OVER / UNDER
SDGST @ UCONN
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27%
PUBLIC
73%
MONEY
6%
PUBLIC
94%
MONEY
Over64%
PUBLIC
Under36%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadSan Diego St. +12 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1219
60-43-2 in Last 105 NCAAB Picks
+879
42-30-1 in Last 73 NCAAB ATS Picks
+690
8-1 in Last 9 SDGST ATS Picks
Bob's Analysis:

This is not the San Diego State team from last season. However, this is still an above average defense for the Aztecs. They’ve had the whole season to think about their 17-point loss in last year’s national title game. Connecticut has looked unstoppable and rightfully so, but this seems like a lot of points for the Sweet 16 with the public very heavy on Huskies. If Jadeon Ledee can get Donovan Clingan into foul trouble, Creighton did to Clingan, that could make the game a little more interesting.

Pick Made: Mar 28, 8:20 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadUConn -10.5 -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+1340
54-37-1 in Last 92 NCAAB Picks
+1110
55-40-1 in Last 96 NCAAB ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Can SDSU fare any better than it did last April 3? Remember, UConn won the national title game comfortably, 76-59, and not sure the scenario will be much different in the Sweet 16. These Aztecs rely even more upon 6-9 PF Jaedon LeDee, who has worn out opposing frontlines in recent games in which he’s tallying 28 ppg across the past five. But UConn can keep LeDee contained with its size and athleticism, especially with 7-2 skyscraper Donovan Clingan to protect the rim. From the title game, Dan Hurley also returns G Tristen Newton, who scored a game-high 19 in that 17-point cruise, while the Huskies have won nine in a row since that mid-February loss at Creighton. Play UConn (NCAA at Boston)

Pick Made: Mar 28, 7:56 am UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadUConn -10.5 -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+1302
83-63-3 in Last 149 NCAAB ATS Picks
+438
10-5 in Last 15 SDGST ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Huskies shot 3 of 22 from deep against Northwestern, and the game still was a blowout start to finish. This one will be tougher against a very physical and staunch defensive team in San Diego State. But the elevated play of Donovan Clingan should somewhat neutralize Jaedon LeDee. And ultimately, UConn's overall excellence will prevail. The Huskies have won eight straight NCAA Tournament games by 13 or more points. Playing in front of a partisan crowd in Boston, look for UConn to extend that streak.

Pick Made: Mar 28, 4:07 am UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadUConn -10.5 -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+993
26-15 in Last 41 NCAAB Picks
+718
15-8 in Last 23 NCAAB ATS Picks
+242
3-1 in Last 4 UCONN ATS Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

This is a pretty big number to lay in the Sweet 16, but UConn is simply that good. I've watched a lot of San Diego State this season, and while they are a very solid team, this year's squad isn't on the same level as last year's national runner-up team. I like UConn to win by 15+ in this one.

Pick Made: Mar 26, 8:12 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadUConn -10.5 -115
WIN
Unit2.0
+637
11-6-1 in Last 18 NCAAB ATS Picks
+591
5-1 in Last 6 UCONN ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

TD Garden Arena is in Boston right? Boston, Mass? K just checking. And this is the UCONN team that plays incredibly sound ball and probably got a few teaching points for Hurley from the slight let-down against Northwestern in the final 10 mins of what was a blowout win. Am I supposed to be shocked if/when they win by 15+? UCONN 24-11 ATS as a favorite, 15-5 ATS road/neutral (this is priced as neutral but really home). Love the inside/outside stuff the Huskies have going on. They just beat Marquette (2 seed) by 16 at neutral site this month? SDSU 6-14 ATS road/neutral. Huskies margin of victory during 9-game win streak: 17, 39, 16, 5, 27, 14, 7, 30, 24. That math works.

Pick Made: Mar 25, 4:40 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

San Diego State Aztecs
Thursday, Dec 04, 2025
Avatar
F
Miles Heide
Back
Connecticut Huskies
Wednesday, Dec 03, 2025
Avatar
C
Tarris Reed Jr.
Ankle
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