Arizona is 8-0 ATS to begin the season. The Wildcats have the players down low to challenge Zach Edey and make him uncomfortable. Arizona also has the better, bigger guards to go toe-to-toe with the Boilermakers guards. Purdue will be able to keep up with the pace of the Wildcats but if Arizona can keep Edey in check, they have the experienced players to shut down the rest.

Purdue won’t have the same home-court advantage as they do in West Lafayette, but the crowd at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis will still be a very pro-Purdue crowd. Purdue has a 9-1 record and 7-2-1 ATS, shoots 49% from the field, and has a deep roster with 92% of the scoring last season returning. I like betting Purdue, but I bet Arizona today because they haven’t lost a bet this season. A perfect 8-0 straight-up and ATS and they shoot better (51.5%) than Purdue and also defend better (38%). I’ll wait until Arizona doesn’t cover before betting against them. Arizona to win, money-line.

The Wildcats are not only the best team in the nation, they are also the best ATS team in the country. They are 8-0 ATS this season as they are covering the spread by an average of 11.6 PPG. The Wildcats don't allow offensive rebounds as they are 1st in the nation in opponent offensive rebound percentage. If they can keep Zach Edey off the offensive glass, Arizona should win this game with no problems.

My simulations make this total 151. I'm on the Under.