Expert Picks
CBB | Michigan St. 69 @ Marquette 60 | 03/19 | 9:20 PM UTC
Marquette -166
LOSS
ANALYSIS: This isn't a terrible matchup for my Spartans, but I don't think they can beat the Big East champs unless Marquette star Tyler Kolek bangs up his hand worse than he did in Round 1 vs. Vermont. Kolek, a lefty, finished with eight points and four assists, shooting 3 for 11 but having trouble finishing around the basket. The Golden Eagles are college basketball’s sixth-most efficient offense, per Kenpom, including No. 3 in two-point field goal percentage (58.6%). KenPom also has Marquette winning by 3. The Lansing State Journal beat writer for Sparty has them losing by four, so guess I have no choice here.
Matt Severance
Severance Pays
Season Splits
21-12, 17-16 ATS
29-6, 23-12 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
16-16
22-13
62%
On Road or Neutral
LOCATION
On Road or Neutral
44%
8-10
13-5
72%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
41%
5-7
15-9
62%
When Spread was +1 to +4.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -4.5 to -1
75%
3-1
4-0
100%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
Favored on Road or Neutral
36%
4-7
8-1
88%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 50-65% of Games
52%
9-8
4-2
66%
vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
50%
5-5
9-3
75%
After <4 Days Off
REST
After <4 Days Off
56%
9-7
9-5
64%
vs MARQET
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MICHST
0%
0-0
0-0
0%