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    Sun 03/19 | 9:20 PM UTC | Columbus
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Michigan St. Spartans 21-12, 17-16 ATS
    MICHST +3.5-110
    MICHST +152
    Over 139-110
    Marquette Golden Eagles 29-6, 23-12 ATS
    MARQET -3.5-110
    MARQET -180
    Under 139-110

    Expert Picks

    CBB | Michigan St. 69 @ Marquette 60 | 03/19 | 9:20 PM UTC

    Marquette -166

    LOSS

    ANALYSIS: This isn't a terrible matchup for my Spartans, but I don't think they can beat the Big East champs unless Marquette star Tyler Kolek bangs up his hand worse than he did in Round 1 vs. Vermont. Kolek, a lefty, finished with eight points and four assists, shooting 3 for 11 but having trouble finishing around the basket. The Golden Eagles are college basketball’s sixth-most efficient offense, per Kenpom, including No. 3 in two-point field goal percentage (58.6%). KenPom also has Marquette winning by 3. The Lansing State Journal beat writer for Sparty has them losing by four, so guess I have no choice here.

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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +2021 174-111-1 IN LAST 286 CBB PICKS
    +1001 112-64 IN LAST 176 CBB ML PICKS
    +454 8-2 IN LAST 10 MICHST ML PICKS
    +114 6-3 IN LAST 9 MARQET ML PICKS

    Season Splits

    21-12, 17-16 ATS
    29-6, 23-12 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    50%
    16-16
    22-13
    62%
    On Road or Neutral
    LOCATION
    On Road or Neutral
    44%
    8-10
    13-5
    72%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    41%
    5-7
    15-9
    62%
    When Spread was +1 to +4.5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -4.5 to -1
    75%
    3-1
    4-0
    100%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    Favored on Road or Neutral
    36%
    4-7
    8-1
    88%
    vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win 50-65% of Games
    52%
    9-8
    4-2
    66%
    vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
    50%
    5-5
    9-3
    75%
    After <4 Days Off
    REST
    After <4 Days Off
    56%
    9-7
    9-5
    64%
    vs MARQET
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs MICHST
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%