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Fri, Mar 1711:13 pm UTCGreensboro Coliseum
Providence
Friars
PROV
Last 5 ATS
W/L21-12
ATS18-15
O/U17-16-0
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Kentucky
Wildcats
UK
Last 5 ATS
W/L19-12
ATS16-18
O/U21-13-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
21-12
Win /Loss
19-12
18-15
Spread
16-18
17-16-0
Over / Under
21-13-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
PROV @ UK
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MONEYLINE
PROV @ UK
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OVER / UNDER
PROV @ UK
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadKentucky -4.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+229
10-7 in Last 17 UK ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

The late-blooming Wildcats won five of seven down the stretch and appear to be getting better as the season wears on. They also have the best player on the floor in Oscar Tshiebwe, the reigning national Player of the Year. Providence has been stubborn and solid as usual, but a nine-game winning streak mid-season appears to be its peak. The Friars stumble into the NCAA Tournament with losses in four of their past five.

Pick Made: Mar 17, 9:58 pm UTC on WHNJ
Point SpreadKentucky -4.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+71
4-3 in Last 7 NCAAB ATS Picks
+790
9-1 in Last 10 PROV ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

The Friars stumble into March Madness having lost four of their last five games. It’s a stretch that’s hard to ignore, no matter how talented they are. Although there is motivation with former Wildcat Bryce Hopkins and tenured talent, look for Kentucky to exhibit a more fluid game plan. Tail the Wildcats in what should be a dramatic against-the-spread finish.

Pick Made: Mar 17, 7:44 pm UTC on WHNJ
Point SpreadKentucky -4 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+230
10-7 in Last 17 NCAAB ATS Picks
Sia's Analysis:

These are two teams that appear to be headed in opposite directions. Kentucky has been very good in SEC play (outside of two losses to Vanderbilt) and Providence is stumbling to the finish line, losing 4 of their last 5 games. Not only has Providence been losing, but over their last two games they've been handled quite easily by both Seton Hall and UConn. I'm not worried about any Bryce Hopkins revenge narratives, and if anything, I think that will hurt Providence if he puts too much on his shoulders. Give me the more talented and hotter team to cover.

Pick Made: Mar 17, 1:13 pm UTC on WHNJ
Point SpreadProvidence +4 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

I like the Friars here because I think Kentucky transfer Bryce Hopkins will have a big game against his former team. Kentucky went 0-5 ATS on neutral courts this season and has gone 2-12 ATS on neutrals the past three seasons. Take the points with Providence College.

Pick Made: Mar 17, 1:37 am UTC on WHNJ
Money LineKentucky -170
WIN
Unit1.0
+2021
174-111-1 in Last 286 NCAAB Picks
+1001
112-64 in Last 176 NCAAB ML Picks
+131
5-2 in Last 7 PROV ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

East Region first-round game from Greensboro, NC. Providence has fallen to pieces down the stretch and really all of its good wins this year were at home. Their best player, Bryce Hopkins, was a washout at Kentucky last season. Actually think it's a good thing UK was knocked out of the SEC Tournament early to get some guys healthier and more practice time. This should be a hugely pro-Big Blue Nation crowd.

Pick Made: Mar 13, 2:03 pm UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

Providence Friars
Sunday, Dec 07, 2025
Avatar
G
Rich Barron
Concussion
Avatar
G
Daquan Davis
Knee
Kentucky Wildcats
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
F
Jayden Quaintance
Knee
Saturday, Dec 06, 2025
Avatar
F
Mouhamed Dioubate
Ankle
Friday, Nov 21, 2025
Avatar
F
Reece Potter
Redshirt
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