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Bundesliga Logo

Bundesliga Expert Picks

Past Picks
Feb 14 2026, 2:30 pm UTC
League
Bayern Munich
3
@ Werder Bremen
0
SpreadBayern Munich -1.5 -130
WIN
Unit1.0
Martin's Analysis:

Werder Bremen could be low on confidence after enduring a 12-game winless streak over the past three months. They haven't won since early November, and they've fallen down to 16th in the Bundesliga table. That doesn't bode well for the upcoming visit of German champions Bayern Munich. Bayern have won their last three games against Werder Bremen - 4-0, 3-0, and 5-0. They're vastly superior to Werder Bremen in every department, and they should win this game with ease.

Pick Made: Feb 13, 4:00 pm UTC on BetMGM
Feb 14 2026, 2:30 pm UTC
League
Mönchengladbach
0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
3
SpreadMönchengladbach +0.5 -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
Bruce's Analysis:

It's been a good while since either of these sides won, and we suspect they might not be able to escape the gravity pull of the other. For Eintracht Frankfurt, the winless run now reads nine, which began well before manager Dino Toppmöller was dismissed, but the seeds of SGE's demise had been planted since the departures of Omar Marmoush and Hugo Ekitike. New coach Albert Riera is talking a big game, but until SGE stops shipping goals (46; only bottom side Heidenheim has conceded more, 47) we steer clear. 'Gladbach has the best striker on the pitch in Haris Tabakovic and a clear shot as a result. Play 'Gladbach on Spread

Pick Made: Feb 14, 10:31 am UTC on Caesars
Feb 14 2026, 2:30 pm UTC
League
Freiburg
0
@ Hoffenheim
3
Money LineHoffenheim -128
WIN
Unit0.5
+305
5-0 in Last 5 BUND ML Picks
Jon's Analysis:

Hoffenheim enter this match coming off their worst loss of the season at the hands of the Bavarian giants, Bayern Munich. They'll want to put that loss behind them as quickly as possible, and they have the chance to do that while playing at home. Hoffenheim remain one of the strongest home clubs in Germany, as they have picked up seven wins and 21 points from their 10 home matches this season. Freiburg are a good side, but struggle on the road, and while they're probably score here, their defense will struggle against the hosts.

Pick Made: Feb 12, 7:46 pm UTC on BetMGM
Feb 14 2026, 2:30 pm UTC
League
Bayern Munich
3
@ Werder Bremen
0
SpreadBayern Munich -1.5 -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+293
6-2 in Last 8 BUND Picks
Jon's Analysis:

Bayern Munich had a rare blip in form over a two week period which saw them lose to Augsburg and draw to Hamburg. They apparently immeidately corrected that form by smacking down one of the best teams in Germany, Hoffenheim, 5-1. Now the team has confidence and momentum on their side as they take on an extremely out of form Werder team. These two teams met four times over the last two season, and Bayern Munich has outscored them 13-0 over those games. Expect another clinical win for the visitors.

Pick Made: Feb 12, 8:10 pm UTC on Caesars
Feb 13 2026, 7:30 pm UTC
League
Mainz 05
0
@ Borussia Dortmund
4
SpreadBorussia Dortmund -0.5 -180
WIN
Unit1.0
+343
9-4 in Last 13 BUND Picks
+178
4-2 in Last 6 BUND ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I see Buckets is on Dortmund -1. Certainly a much, much better price there. I have grown to deal with and strategize a draw (on underdogs), but I certainly would prefer not having one in any sport so I almost always pay the freight to avoid. Can't see a scenario where Dortmund does any worse than a draw here (no help), but the hosts really need the 3 points to keep within striking distance of Bundesliga leader Bayern Munich. BVB is unbeaten in 14 straight overall and has won the past five. Mainz is definitely playing better lately but has won just one of its 10 away games. Surely we can get a 1-0 result here; Dortmund won the reverse fixture 2-0 on Sept. 27.

Pick Made: Feb 13, 2:52 pm UTC on DraftKings
Feb 13 2026, 7:30 pm UTC
League
Mainz 05
0
@ Borussia Dortmund
4
SpreadBorussia Dortmund -1 -105
WIN
Unit0.5
+293
6-2 in Last 8 BUND Picks
Jon's Analysis:

Mainz made the fantastic decision to pick up new manager Urs Fischer back in December. Since the new acquisition, they've pulled themselves out of the relegation zone, and Mainz have won four of their last five matches. I expect that streak to come to an end with a travel to the Yellow Wall. Dortmund remain the only team in Bundesliga play who haven't lost at home, and they've picked up six clean sheets at home on top of that. Mainz are getting better, but this is too big of a task to ask from Urs' squad.

Pick Made: Feb 12, 8:05 pm UTC on bet365
Feb 08 2026, 4:30 pm UTC
League
Hoffenheim
1
@ Bayern Munich
5
SpreadHoffenheim +2 -122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+343
9-4 in Last 13 BUND Picks
+178
4-2 in Last 6 BUND ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Do I think this bet wins? Probably not. But I also don't really think it loses and ideally we get fortunate on a one-goal Bayern Munich win. Or obviously draw. Hoffenheim (feel like I sneezed) is third in the Bundesliga and has only four losses. Bayern is of course first. I would not play +1.5. This is the only book offering 2. I'm expecting a push in all honesty.

Pick Made: Feb 08, 2:11 pm UTC on BetRivers
Feb 08 2026, 4:30 pm UTC
League
Hoffenheim
1
@ Bayern Munich
5
SpreadHoffenheim +1.5 +105
LOSS
Unit0.5
+293
6-2 in Last 8 BUND Picks
Jon's Analysis:

I'm a Bayern Munich fan, so part of me really hopes I miss this bet. The part of me that loves money, thinks this is the right way to play this. Bayern Munich do this every season, they struggle for a like a month without warning. They are coming off back to back poor performances that saw them drop points to Augsburg and Hamburg. They're now playing a Hoffenheim team who are the most in form team in Germany. I think Bayern could still win, but 1.5 goals is wild for how good Hoffenheim have been in 2026, and I wouldn't be shocked to see another draw.

Pick Made: Feb 01, 7:47 pm UTC on BetMGM
Feb 08 2026, 4:30 pm UTC
League
Hoffenheim
1
@ Bayern Munich
5
Over/UnderOver 3.5 -156
WIN
Unit0.5
+293
6-2 in Last 8 BUND Picks
+274.5
23-15 in Last 38 BUND O/U Picks
Jon's Analysis:

While Bayern Munich are in a bit of a funk right now, even when losing and drawing they've been good for goals. Bayern Munich's 20 matches this season have seen 92 goals. Hoffenheim, while much less than that, have the second best offense with 43 scored in 20 matches. We are going to have Harry Kane, Michael Olise, Luis Diaz, Lennert Karl, and Andrej Kramaric all on the pitch at the same time. I'm going to ladder goals in this one, but I have to take that 3.5 line.

Pick Made: Feb 01, 7:51 pm UTC on BetRivers
Feb 07 2026, 2:30 pm UTC
League
Borussia Dortmund
2
@ Wolfsburg
1
SpreadWolfsburg +0.75 -114
LOSS
Unit0.5
+293
6-2 in Last 8 BUND Picks
Jon's Analysis:

I don't mind playing -130 for a single bet, but I know that's not for everyone, so I wanted to provide an alternative. I think Dortmund win this match by multiple goals. I'm looking at a 3-1 win for the Black and Yellow. Dortmund offense is just too strong right now, and their motivation to succeed after watching league rivals drop points in back-to-back games should only help them further. I like the Asian-handicap for partial coverage if you don't want to take the ML outright. Expect Wolfsburg to crumble even at home against the better side.

Pick Made: Feb 01, 7:44 pm UTC on bet365
Feb 07 2026, 2:30 pm UTC
League
Borussia Dortmund
2
@ Wolfsburg
1
Over/UnderOver 2.5 -163
WIN
Unit0.5
+293
6-2 in Last 8 BUND Picks
+274.5
23-15 in Last 38 BUND O/U Picks
Jon's Analysis:

I didn't take the over 3.5 in Dortmunds last game, only to watch them play to a thrilling 3-2 win over Heidenheim. Dortmund are now playing one of the only teams with a defense as bad as Heidenheim in Wolfsburg, and the line is set to 2.5 goals. I'm going to bet the over 2.5 here and take over 3.5 as well. Dortmund are dominating domestically right now and have this break before the next UCL round. I expect them to score three by themselves, against a Wolfsburg team who has let 42 in already this season.

Pick Made: Feb 01, 7:39 pm UTC on bet365
Feb 07 2026, 2:30 pm UTC
League
Borussia Dortmund
2
@ Wolfsburg
1
Money LineBorussia Dortmund -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+305
5-0 in Last 5 BUND ML Picks
Jon's Analysis:

Dortmund just a couple weeks ago were 10 points behind Bayern Munich on the table and winning the league seemed entirely out of reach. Then Bayern Munich dropped points in back to back matches, losing to Augsburg and drawing to Hamburg. There's something wrong in the Bavarian camp, and Dortmund has to take advantage of that. Dortmund will continue playing their best starting XI and picking up crucial points in the title race. Losing to Wolfsburg isn't an option, expect a multi-goal win for Dortmund.

Pick Made: Feb 01, 7:41 pm UTC on BetMGM
Feb 07 2026, 2:30 pm UTC
League
Hamburger SV
2
@ Heidenheim
0
Over/UnderOver 2.5 -125
LOSS
Unit0.5
+293
6-2 in Last 8 BUND Picks
+274.5
23-15 in Last 38 BUND O/U Picks
Jon's Analysis:

Heidenheim are dead last on the Bundesliga table and have only picked up a poultry 13 points over their first 20 Bundesliga matches. This is the team that barely avoided relegation last season, and they seem to have gotten worse. I will say, while they have been poor all season long, they're finally starting to show a little passion in their play. They managed to go up 2-1 on Dortmund in the last matchday, and even though they lost 2-3, at least they're pressing! This game is going to be scrappy as all get, but I do think we see goals as both teams push for desperate points.

Pick Made: Feb 01, 7:34 pm UTC on bet365
Feb 07 2026, 2:30 pm UTC
League
Augsburg
0
@ Mainz 05
2
SpreadAugsburg +0.5 -121
LOSS
Unit0.5
+293
6-2 in Last 8 BUND Picks
Jon's Analysis:

Just two weeks ago we were talking about Augsburg in terms of the relegation battle. This was a club that many people, myself included, had counted out. Their poor attack and lack-luster defense had people thinking a return to 2. Bundesliga could be in their cards. Then the Bayern Munich game happened. Augsburg went to Allianz Arena, and took down the Bavarian giants 2-1. After that, they hosted St. Pauli, and did the same. They might not be the best, but don't bet against this kind of momentum.

Pick Made: Feb 01, 7:22 pm UTC on bet365
Feb 07 2026, 2:30 pm UTC
League
Augsburg
0
@ Mainz 05
2
Over/UnderOver 2.5 -110
LOSS
Unit0.5
+293
6-2 in Last 8 BUND Picks
+274.5
23-15 in Last 38 BUND O/U Picks
Jon's Analysis:

The bane of my existence, Augsburg will take the pitch once again as they travel to take on a Mainz side who has won three of their last four matches. We have two really poor teams who in the last month, have completely turned things around. Augsburg's five matches in January have ended 4-0, 1-1, 2-1, 2-1 and 2-2. They're are starting to pivot to a higher line and pressing for goals knowing their defense can't keep cleansheet. Mainz is also doing the same. I'm going for a high scoring 2-2 draw in this one.

Pick Made: Feb 01, 7:29 pm UTC on bet365
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