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Sun, Jun 1412:30 am UTCFrost Bank Center
New York
Knicks
NY
Last 5 ATS
W/L70-32
ATS58-44
O/U47-55-0
FINAL SCORE
94
-
90
San Antonio
Spurs
SA
Last 5 ATS
W/L74-31
ATS60-45
O/U49-56-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
70-32
Win /Loss
74-31
58-44
Spread
60-45
47-55-0
Over / Under
49-56-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NY @ SA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
NY @ SA
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OVER / UNDER
NY @ SA
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62%
PUBLIC
38%
MONEY
34%
PUBLIC
66%
MONEY
Over85%
PUBLIC
Under15%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
ReboundsJose Alvarado Over 1.5 Total Rebounds +120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1342
39-23 Last 62 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. I’m viewing this more of an opportunity stat than anything. Jose Alvarado was the unsung hero of Game 4, playing closing minutes down the stretch alongside fellow point guard Jalen Brunson. Alvarado, a three and D specialist, also offers ball-handling that both Deuce McBride and Landry Shamet do not - a key attribute against the Spurs front court pressure. By surpassing McBride in the pecking order, Alvarado has played 10+ minutes in each game this series, grabbing at least two boards in each game. He is also 7/7 this season against the Spurs when playing between 10-17 minutes. Mike Brown knows the Brunson/Alvarado minutes work - I see this as worth a bet at plus odds.

Pick Made: Jun 13, 11:20 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PointsVictor Wembanyama Over 27.5 Total Points -137
LOSS
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

Victor Wembanyama is going to have a career game tonight and show that the Spurs are still in the series by scoring 35 points or more. He's 7’4” and unstoppable around the rim, and I think he's going to do a little more of that and less 3-point shooting as he did in Game 4 when the Spurs had a major collapse. We know he can do it because he had 41 against OKC in Game 1 of the West Finals. This will be a statement game for Wemby.

Pick Made: Jun 13, 7:44 pm UTC on Caesars
SpreadSan Antonio -5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+363
16-11 Last 27 NBA ATS
+115
10-8 Last 18 NBA ATS
Micah's Analysis:

The Knicks are up 3-1 in the NBA Finals, but it could easily be the other way around. In all four games, the Spurs blew big leads, and there's never been a bigger lead blown in the NBA Finals than in Game 4 by the Spurs. They led by 29 points and lost. They scored 76 points in the first half but only 30 in the second half. No driving the basket, no post play, and Mitch Johnson was nowhere to be found as head coach. The Knicks are now in the heads of the Spurs. Doubt lingers. But the remedy is simple. Quit trying to play like the Celtics and get Victor Wembanyama inside the paint. He's 7’4” and unstoppable. Spurs at home.

Pick Made: Jun 13, 7:21 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
AssistsJosh Hart Over 4.5 Total Assists -113
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1993
145-105 Last 250 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

Josh Hart dished out six assists in Game 4. The only game against the Spurs in which he hasn’t finished with at least five assists was in Game 2. Despite being limited to 18 minutes because of foul trouble in that game, he still recorded four assists. He is always looking for his teammates, and he swings the ball quickly to open shooters in the corners, leaving him in a favorable spot to record at least five assists again.

Pick Made: Jun 13, 11:26 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PointsDylan Harper Over 14.5 Total Points -116
WIN
Unit1.0
+1993
145-105 Last 250 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

Dylan Harper has scored at least 15 points in three of the four games against the Knicks. The one time he didn’t, he finished with 13 points on 5-for-18 shooting from the field. The last three games, he has played at least 32 minutes and attempted at least 12 shots in each of them. He is shooting 48.1% from the field in the series and shot 50.5% during the regular season, including 39.0% from 3 at home. With plenty of minutes and shot attempts likely, I like his chances of scoring at least 15 points.

Pick Made: Jun 13, 11:22 am UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
PointsKarl-Anthony Towns Under 16.5 Total Points -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+1776
96-65 Last 161 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

In this series, Karl-Anthony Towns has seen his shot attempts drop from 15 to 12 to 10 to five. He's not forcing anything; he's contributing with rebounding, defense and timely shots. Since the Spurs stopped guarding KAT with Victor Wembanyama, thus enabling Wemby to roam the paint more, KAT hasn't gotten the easy outside looks. He's also liable to get into foul trouble with Wemby driving at him in a must-win spot.

Pick Made: Jun 12, 10:17 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PTS + ASTJose Alvarado Over 5.5 Total Points + Assists -136
LOSS
Unit1.0
Adam's Analysis:

Jose Alvarado’s minutes jumped for Game 4 to 16, and he responded with eight points and three assists. He was the only Knicks bench guy who brought any value, and he committed five fouls, but so I expect even more minutes. Alvarado scored seven points in Game 1 and on the season averaged a combined 10.8 P/A. The Spurs' defense won't pay added attention to him, so he can produce with opportunity.

Pick Made: Jun 12, 2:13 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
BlocksVictor Wembanyama Under 3.5 Total Blocks -114
LOSS
Unit1.0
Adam's Analysis:

Victor Wembanyama has 3-4 blocks in all four games this series. But it’s been three in three of those games. Wemby isn't camping on defense. He’s guarding guards and perimeter forwards, disrupting passing lanes with his long reach. That means he's not down low swatting shots all night. He has five steals this series, had 10 steals in the 7 games vs. OKC. He’s all over the place.

Pick Made: Jun 12, 2:10 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
REB + ASTJalen Brunson Over 9.5 Total Rebounds + Assists +110
LOSS
Unit1.0
Adam's Analysis:

Jalen Brunson is going to score. He's had 30-plus in three of the four games so far. But he's doing more than that. His rebounds/assist totals the last three games has been 11, 10 and then 12 in Game 4. He played 44 minutes in Game 4. He’s had five boards in each of the last three games and is capable of 7-10 assists on any night.

Pick Made: Jun 12, 2:08 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
PTS + REBDylan Harper Over 20.5 Total Points + Rebounds -123
WIN
Unit1.0
+1342
39-23 Last 62 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Dylan Harper has cleared this line in each game of this series, while playing 32 minutes in each of the last three games. He’s been the Spurs most consistent offensive weapon, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him play even more in a win-or-go home scenario for San Antonio. Bet this to over 21.5 with confidence.

Pick Made: Jun 11, 5:30 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PointsStephon Castle Over 15.5 Total Points -121
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1776
96-65 Last 161 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

Stephon Castle played just 26 minutes in the Spurs' heartbreaking Game 4 loss. He got in foul trouble and shot 2 of 7 from the field. However, he made all eight of his foul shots and is shooting 85 percent from the free-throw line in this series. With San Antonio's season on the line Saturday, look for the team's second-leading scorer to play 30-plus minutes and score at least 16 points. He's 16-6 to this Over in the playoffs.

Pick Made: Jun 11, 5:25 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

New York Knicks
No Player Injuries
San Antonio Spurs
Wednesday, Feb 04, 2026
Avatar
SF
David Jones
AnkleOut
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