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Wed, Oct 047:08 pm UTCTropicana Field
Track OnCBS Sports
Texas
Rangers
TEX
Last 5 ML
W/L103-76
ATS77-63
O/U72-60-8
FINAL SCORE
7
-
1
Tampa Bay
Rays
TB
Last 5 ML
W/L98-65
ATS64-62
O/U66-55-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
103-76
Win /Loss
98-65
77-63
Spread
64-62
72-60-8
Over / Under
66-55-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TEX @ TB
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MONEYLINE
TEX @ TB
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OVER / UNDER
TEX @ TB
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20%
PUBLIC
80%
MONEY
25%
PUBLIC
75%
MONEY
Over64%
PUBLIC
Under36%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineTexas +130
WIN
Unit1.0
+947
57-45 in Last 102 MLB ML Picks
+367
12-7 in Last 19 TB ML Picks
Bob's Analysis:

Tampa Bay was shutout in game one. The Rays only had six hits and had four errors in the field. Zach Eflin has been very good at home with a 3.30 home ERA, but has allowed three, or more, earned runs in three of his last six home starts. Texas' Nathan Eovaldi has struggled since returning from the IL, allowing a combined 17 earned runs in his last four starts. However, it's a fresh start for Eovaldi, Texas is playing with momentum and Tampa Bay’s lineup is still without some key bats.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 6:38 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadTampa Bay -1.5 +140
LOSS
Unit1.0
+423
21-17-1 in Last 39 MLB Picks
+51
4-3 in Last 7 TEX ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

The Rays are 14-4 in Zach Eflin's home starts this season. They were 53-28 in The Trop in the regular season anyway. After laying an egg in Game 1, it's hard for me to believe they'll just lay down in Game 2. The offense is usually great at home and gets a look at Nathan Eovaldi Wednesday. He had a 9.10 ERA in September after returning from injury and only has averaged about 3 1/3 innings per start in that range. The Rangers bullpen is totally unreliable, too. I'm sure enough about the Rays that we're gonna play the run line (-1.5, +140) to swing the odds.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 5:12 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineTampa Bay -140
LOSS
Unit1.0
+905
9-0 in Last 9 MLB Picks
+233
17-15 in Last 32 TB ML Picks
Micah's Analysis:

Tampa Bay, did you go win 99 games during the regular season to give it all up in two games? This is how your season ends? The Rays had chances in Game 1 but Jordan Montgomery is in a zone for his last five starts. That’s it, and the errors and bad fielding contributed. The Rays didn’t even get to expose the Rangers bullpen. They were cooked by then, but today is a new day. Nathan Eovaldi gave up seven runs in his last start and five in his previous start while the Rays have won Zach Eflin’s last six starts. Rays take a stand, get the win.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 4:29 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineTampa Bay -158
LOSS
Unit1.0
+313
92-57 in Last 149 MLB ML Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Jordan Montgomery held the Rays in check during Game 1, pitching seven scoreless innings. Don’t expect Nathan Eovaldi to have similar success. Over six starts since returning from a forearm injury, he has given up 21 runs and posted a 1.92 WHIP over 20 1/3 innings. The Rays will deploy Zach Eflin, who had a 3.30 ERA and 1.04 WHIP at home this season. Look for the Rays to even up the series with a victory.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 1:44 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineTampa Bay -152
LOSS
Unit1.0
+927
107-82 in Last 189 MLB ML Picks
+400
32-24 in Last 56 TEX ML Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Rays certainly can't play any worse than they did in Game 1, when they committed four errors in a 4-0 loss. I'm betting on Tampa Bay to even the series behind Zach Eflin, who went 11-4 with a 3.30 ERA at home while fanning 120 in 103.2 innings. Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi was dominant until straining his right forearm in July. Since returning Sept. 5, Eovaldi sports a 9.30 ERA with seven homers allowed in 20.1 innings. Tampa Bay also has an edge in the bullpen, as Rangers relievers posted a 4.67 ERA over the last two months.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 4:31 am UTC on FanDuel
Money LineTampa Bay -146
LOSS
Unit1.0
+641.5
43-23 in Last 66 TEX ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Can't say I think the Rays are all that great right now with all their injuries but it's obviously all hands on deck Wednesday with the season on the line and their bullpen is very good. Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi has not been the same guy since coming off the IL as his ERA in September was 9.30. Tampa's Zach Eflin is 11-4 with a 3.30 ERA at home. The Rays can't possibly play worse than today when they were shut out and set a season high with four errors in losing their sixth straight playoff game. They are very overdue to win one.

Pick Made: Oct 03, 11:11 pm UTC on FanDuel

Best Prop Picks

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Team Injuries

Texas Rangers
Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025
Avatar
SS
Corey Seager
AbdomenIl
Avatar
RP
Chris Martin
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Cole Winn
ShoulderIl
Avatar
LF
Wyatt Langford
ObliqueIl
Friday, Oct 03, 2025
Avatar
SP
Nathan Eovaldi
GroinIl
Avatar
SP
Cody Bradford
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
2B
Marcus Semien
FootIl
Avatar
RP
Jon Gray
ShoulderIl
Avatar
RP
Josh Sborz
ShoulderIl
Avatar
LF
Sam Haggerty
AnkleIl
Avatar
1B
Jake Burger
WristOut
Avatar
CF
Evan Carter
WristIl
Avatar
SS
Danyer Cueva
UndisclosedIl
Tampa Bay Rays
Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025
Avatar
RP
Mason Englert
ShoulderIl
Avatar
CF
Everson Pereira
BackIl
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
SP
Alex Faedo
ShoulderIl
Avatar
CF
Jonny DeLuca
HamstringIl
Avatar
RF
Stuart Fairchild
ObliqueIl
Avatar
SS
Taylor Walls
GroinIl
Avatar
SP
Shane McClanahan
TricepsIl
Avatar
RP
Manuel Rodriguez
ForearmIl
Avatar
RP
Nathan Lavender
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Hunter Bigge
LatIl
Avatar
RP
Alfredo Zarraga
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Brian Van Belle
ElbowIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
92-72, +20
99-65, +25
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
42-41, -230
53-30, +55
63%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
27-27, +421
86-46, +582
65%
When Line was +112 to +142
MONEY LINE
When Line was -164 to -134
52%
9-8, +327
26-12, +553
68%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
47%
20-22, +195
50-27, +72
64%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
56%
31-24, +540
30-28, -576
51%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
55%
26-21, +503
69-44, -9
61%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
59%
13-9, +81
12-10, -280
54%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TEX
75%
6-2, +412
2-6, -491
25%
when Nathan Eovaldi starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Zach Eflin starts
61%
16-10, +241
23-9, +557
71%
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