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Serie A Logo

Serie A Expert Picks

1 Expert Pick

Dec 07 2025, 7:45 pm UTC
League
Juventus
@ Napoli
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
Bruce's Analysis:

Luciano Spalletti weaving his magic wand at Juve...

Pick Made: 9:23 am UTC on bet365

Past Picks

Dec 07 2025, 2:00 pm UTC
League
Roma
0
@ Cagliari
1
Money LineRoma -150
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jon's Analysis:

Roma have been the impressive wildcard of Serie A so far this season. They are currently only three point off the top of the table, and 13 matches into the season they have only conceded seven goals. They are a defensive powerhouses who has shown time and time again they are capable of physically and mentally frustrating their opponents. They've also been the best road team in all of Serie A this season. They picked up 15 points over their six road matches, and going against Cremonese who only have one win at home, the juice is worth the squeeze backing Roma.

Pick Made: 4:21 am UTC on Caesars
Dec 06 2025, 2:00 pm UTC
League
Fiorentina
1
@ Sassuolo
3
SpreadSassuolo +0.25 -125
WIN
Unit1.0
Matt's Analysis:

This Serie A match kicks soon. Partly why doing it. My wife is already out raking and I see she has gloves out for me. Uhhh, hard pass! Now I'm "working" :) Definitely love my job. Gets me out of so much almost like a Curb episode. Larry David is definitely my idol in some ways. Am I the only one who when I see Sassuolo thinks of that awful 1980s song Sussudio? Not even sure what that means. But it was the 80s, we didn't care. Decidedly not a Phil Collins fan, although one of his tunes worked really well in a Miami Vice episode. Kinda baffled getting +0.25 considering the Fighting Phils are much higher in the table and Fiorentina is winless domestically.

Pick Made: Dec 06, 1:22 pm UTC on bet365
Dec 01 2025, 7:45 pm UTC
League
Cremonese
3
@ Bologna
1
SpreadBologna -1 -111
LOSS
Unit1.5
Jon's Analysis:

Bologna have been on an absolute terror over the last month. The team has risen to fifth on the Serie A table, and did that by taking points off Udinese, Torino, and Napoli. This team has also shown a lot of firepower recently as we saw them dismantle RB Salzburg 4-1 when playing in UEFA play earlier last week. They are one of the few teams who are unbeaten at home this season, and I don't see that streak ending to a streaky Cremonese side who is coming off a brutal run of losses. Bologna's superior attack and defense should make this -1 spread worst case, push in my mind.

Pick Made: Dec 01, 7:36 pm UTC on bet365
Nov 30 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Fiorentina
0
@ Atalanta
2
SpreadFiorentina +0.5 +120
LOSS
Unit1.0
Bruce's Analysis:

These sides really do have a lot in common: they don't score a lot of goals and they're involved in lots of draws. As for the goals, they've dried up for Fiorentina as Moise Kean (19 goals last season, 2 thus far in the new campaign) has vanished as a threat in front of the goal, while La Viola's finishing has disappeared. Shot quality has also been down at Atalanta, which is one reason Ivan Juric is out and Raffaele Palladino is in behind the bench. As these sides have an astounding 13 draws between, they look fit to be tied in Bergamo. Play Fiorentina on Spread

Pick Made: Nov 30, 8:07 am UTC on Caesars
Nov 30 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Fiorentina
0
@ Atalanta
2
Over/UnderUnder 2.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+150
3-2 in Last 5 SERI O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

What a downer for Fiorentina after punching above its weight so admirably a season ago. Now La Viola simply can't score goals and not just in Serie A, even getting blanked by AEK Athens on Thursday in Conference League action. Fiorentina's finishing has vanished, with just ten goals in twelve matches. Set pieces have collapsed and Moise Kean, who scored 19 goals a season ago, has all but disappeared as a target man, scoring just twice. Atalanta is not having an easy go, either, just two wins in twelve while drawing an astounding seven times, as Ivan Juric wasn't able to replicate the swashbuckling identity of Gian Piero Gasperini's Atalanta and has been replaced by Raffaele Palladino. recent sides. Play Fiorentina-Atalanta Under

Pick Made: Nov 30, 8:02 am UTC on bet365
Nov 29 2025, 2:00 pm UTC
League
Hellas Verona
1
@ Genoa
2
Over/UnderUnder 1.5 +138
LOSS
Unit1.0
+150
3-2 in Last 5 SERI O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Do we dare go under 1.5 goals? In Serie A, there are a handful of matches each weekend that look candidates for the nil-nil, and this matchup in Genova is definitely one of those. We don't think either can escape the gravity pull of the other, so we we'd use the draw if we could, but these sides have combined for just one win in twelve matchdays for each. Nil-nil is always on the table for Verona, on only seven goals in eleven matches, though might watch the Brazilian Giovane, with goals in two of the last three games. Genoa have shown life since Daniele De Rossi replaced Patrick Vieira on the bench, but could be dragged into the muck by Verona. Play Genoa-Verona Under

Pick Made: Nov 29, 8:06 am UTC on BetRivers
Nov 29 2025, 2:00 pm UTC
League
Hellas Verona
1
@ Genoa
2
Over/UnderOver 1.5 -180
WIN
Unit1.5
Jon's Analysis:

Genoa have been an absolute treat to watch in the month of November. They have gone against Cagliari, Sassuolo and Fiorentina with a sense of whimsy in their attack. They are a horrible offensive relegation bound team, that has scored seven goals in their last three games. While Verona continues to stumble and is failing to fix anything wrong with the club, Genoa has started to turn on the heat - and I think they cover this over by themselves.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 3:37 am UTC on Caesars
Nov 29 2025, 2:00 pm UTC
League
Udinese
2
@ Parma
0
Over/UnderOver 2.5 +130
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jon's Analysis:

This line doesn't make sense to me, and that's just the reality of betting on this sport. Sometimes, you're not going to agree with the lines. Parma have gone over 2.5 goals in their last five matches. The head-to-head between these two teams has seen BTTs hit in six of the last eight and over 2.5 goals hit in six of the last eight. Parma is coming off taking points off Verona and Milan, and are letting their high line play higher every match. Both teams will think they can escape with three points, which should equate to goals for us!

Pick Made: Nov 29, 3:32 am UTC on bet365
Nov 28 2025, 7:45 pm UTC
League
Sassuolo
0
@ Como
2
Over/UnderOver 2.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jon's Analysis:

Como have scored 17 goals over their first 12 matches in Serie A play. Five of them, came against Torino earlier this week when Como on the road rampaged in Olympic Grande Torino. Como snapped their low scoring draw streak to show that with Nico Paz and Jayden Addai leading the charge, they can flood the goal. Sassuolo have seen the over cover in their last four matches straight, as they continue to play up or down to their competition.

Pick Made: Nov 28, 5:12 pm UTC on bet365
Nov 23 2025, 7:45 pm UTC
League
AC Milan
1
@ Inter
0
SpreadAC Milan +0.5 -125
WIN
Unit1.0
Bruce's Analysis:

Milan derbies were tightly contested last season, five spread out among different competitions, with AC Milan winning three of those. Worth noting, even as Inter is progressing just a bit better in the Serie A table at the moment. Cristian Chivu, however, has some injury concerns for Inter, among them lively Dutch winger Denzel Dumfries. The Christian Pulisic-Rafa Leo AC Milan frontline might prove just unorthodox enough to give Inter some headaches. Play AC Milan on Spread

Pick Made: Nov 23, 7:59 am UTC on Caesars
Nov 22 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Juventus
1
@ Fiorentina
1
Money LineJuventus +105
LOSS
Unit1.0
Bruce's Analysis:

If Juve can't get all three points in Florence, then Luciano Spalletti ought to keep going right past Turin and into Switzerland after the match as the fan base of the Old Lady won't tolerate a bad result here. That's because Fiorentina seem in crisis, still winless in eleven rounds of Serie A and anchored bottom of the table, and in the first game after Stefano Pioli was dismissed, La Viola could do no better than draw with a wretched Genoa that had recently sacked its own manager (Patrick Vieira). Juve is unbeaten in four under Spalletti, with hints that Dusan Valhovic is ready to assume target-man honors after his gal two weeks ago vs. Sporting Lisbon in the Champions League. Play Juve on ML

Pick Made: Nov 22, 7:43 am UTC on BetMGM
Nov 22 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Juventus
1
@ Fiorentina
1
Money LineJuventus +105
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jon's Analysis:

This match is going to be... just, awful. There's not a better word to describe this. Fiorentina, the team that finished sixth in Serie A last season, is dead last this season. They have zero wins, only nine goals scored, and just five points. Meanwhile, Juventus had a month period where they just stopped trying for some reason, but now they're trying again? I have no clue what the scoreline is, but I do think Spalletti will get his team back on the right foot, and expect Juventus to find their footing.

Pick Made: Nov 21, 8:57 pm UTC on BetMGM
Nov 08 2025, 7:45 pm UTC
League
AC Milan
2
@ Parma
2
Money LineAC Milan -152
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jon's Analysis:

Out of all 20 clubs participating in Serie A this season, there is only one club averaging half a goal or less scored per match. That team is the host, Parma. Parma is struggling to find their footing after a less than stellar off season transfer window. Parma is relying on striker Mateo Pellegrino to find goals, and he doesn't have the support cast he needs to find goals. AC Milan need a win with the league race as close as it is, and expect them to step up, even on the road.

Pick Made: Nov 05, 1:58 am UTC on BetMGM
Nov 07 2025, 7:45 pm UTC
League
Cremonese
0
@ Pisa
1
SpreadCremonese +0.25 -108
LOSS
Unit0.5
Matt's Analysis:

First-ever meeting between these sides in Serie A -- they were both in Serie B last season, and Pisa won the home meeting 2-1 in May. But Pisa is yet to win in 10 Serie A games and has not scored a single goal in five home matches. It has drawn three in a row at home, four straight overall and six times this season. Only Atalanta (7) has drawn more games. Pisa hasn't won a Serie A match since 1991. Cremonese sits seven spots higher in the table and has gotten at least a draw in four of six away matches. Jamie Vardy has two goals in his last three games.

Pick Made: Nov 06, 10:17 pm UTC on bet365
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