Tennessee is off of a bye and likely remembers being shutout by this opponent 26-0 earlier this season. Houston needed a minor miracle - or a Jaguars meltdown really, to pull off the win last week. Tennessee might actually get its second win of the season here this week. If not, they'll keep it close. I like the Titans at +6 or better.

DraftKings. I’m not completely buying the workload split between Nick Chubb and Woody Marks last week. The Texans coaching staff insisted that was a product of the gamescript, which saw the Texans trailing by two-plus scores virtually the entire game. While Marks is likely the 1A, Chubb should still have a role carved out, in what should be a more suitable matchup. Not only do the Titans allow the fifth most rush yards to opposing running backs, but also rank 28th in DVOA against the run (per FTN). I don’t expect the Titans 31st ranked offense to be able to do much against the Texans number one ranked defense (in terms of DVOA, per FTN). I’d bet this up to over 33.5 yards.

Best number is at Draftkings and I'd be willing to play this where it is at other books at 61.5. Marks appears to be in the lead role now and that played itself out last week with his 14 rushing attempts (63 rushing yards v Jags). This week he is projected for between 14-16 rushing attempts against a Titans Defense that has a very hard time defending the run (allowing almost 5 YPC). The Titans are at home, coming off a bye and may get Jeffery Simmons back, but I still think this number is too low for a Woody Marks workhorse role.