The Seahawks got some much-needed rest coming off the bye with DK Metcalf now healthy. Conversely, the 49ers disappointed in the same situation last week winning but failing to cover on the road. They will also be without George Kittle, which would be more problematic if Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall were not playing so well alongside Deebo Samuel. Christian McCaffrey is obviously playing, too, having shaken off the rust last week. With San Francisco at home, it has a tremendous opportunity to fix its red-zone woes and take advantage of what – at least to this point – has been an overrated team that has underdelivered across the season.

The 49ers have dominated this series of late and there's little reason to believe anything will be different in this one,. Seattle has been overrated by oddsmakers from the start and the fact that this spread is inside of a TD shows that this is still the case. Geno Smith is regressing and a leaky defense is getting worse. Lay the points.

Seattle's season hangs in the balance as it’s a club getting healthier to make a playoff push. San Francisco has a major rest/travel disadvantage in this spot, as well as a number of key contributors dealing with injuries that have created game-time decision designations. This has been a one-sided rivalry recently, with the 49ers winning and covering six straight. However, their red-zone offense has been a problem, and I'm not sure that it suddenly corrects itself when asked to win by margin. The Seahawks enter off a bye after consecutive losses at home. In the wild-card era, that only has happened 18 times, and those teams have a tremendous 12-5-1 ATS record in the subsequent game. I'll back them as road underdogs.

This line feels low for Kenneth Walker, despite the Seahawks' pass-happy ways. Seattle is coming off its bye and you can bet the Seahawks will at least try to be a little more balanced. Most importantly, D.K. Metcalf is back, which changes the way opponents defend Seattle. There will be fewer stacked boxes, inviting Seattle to run. Look for the bellcow Walker to get at least 14 rushing attempts.

Julian Love has just 10 tackles and assists over the past two games, but this is a great matchup. In the first meeting with the 49ers, Love racked up seven solo tackles and three assists. Because the 49ers attack the middle of the field more than other teams, opposing safeties often produce higher tackle numbers. This prop has flipped to 7.5 at other books, which I don't mind either at the cheaper price.

49ers cornerback Deommodore Lenoir should be busy vs. the pass-happy Seahawks. Seattle has thrown the ball 68 percent of the time in road games, and 64.9 percent overall (third-most). Lenoir has cleared this prop total in five straight games. Charvarius Ward (personal) remains out, so Lenoir is an every-down player.

The 49ers have been relatively inefficient this year in the redzone, but I think that changes dramatically now that CMC is back in the fold. I expect a high scoring game with plenty of redzone opportunities for the 49ers, particularly against a Seattle defense that has had a ton of issues against the pass. This line is as high as -150 at some books and I'd play it up to that number. Another alternative is to parlay this prop with 49ers ML for plus money.

Kittle has a TD in 4 of his last 5 games against the Seahawks, with 7 total TD catches in that span. And the Seahawks keep firing their middle linebackers and trying new ones because they can't show up in coverage or against the run. At a time when Brock Purdy is far more pedestrian than a year ago and when CMC doesn't look like CMC and with Brandon Aiyuk out for the season and with Deebo yelling at kickers on the sidelines. So I see plenty of action for Kittle, also one of the few operations aspects in a RZ offense that is bottom 3 in the NFL.