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    Sun, Nov 036:00 pm UTCMetLife Stadium
    50 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Washington
    Commanders
    WAS
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L7-2
    ATS7-1
    O/U6-3-0
    FINAL SCORE
    27
    -
    22
    New York
    Giants
    NYG
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L2-7
    ATS3-6
    O/U3-6-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    7-2
    Win /Loss
    2-7
    7-1
    Spread
    3-6
    6-3-0
    Over / Under
    3-6-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    OT
    Avatar
    CB
    Avatar
    RB
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    P
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    WAS @ NYG
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    WAS @ NYG
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    WAS @ NYG
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    81%
    PUBLIC
    19%
    MONEY
    92%
    PUBLIC
    8%
    MONEY
    Over76%
    PUBLIC
    Under24%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsAustin Ekeler Over 2.5 Total Receptions -167
    WIN
    Unit0.25
    +919.5
    27-6 in Last 33 NFL Player Props Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    No Brian Robinson today, so that should mean more touches overall for Ekeler, who has only topped this three times in 2024 but once was with four catches against Baltimore when Robinson was also out.

    Pick Made: Sun 5:29 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Over / UnderUnder 44.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1352
    32-17-1 in Last 50 NFL Picks
    +172
    5-3 in Last 8 NFL O/U Picks
    +132
    9-7 in Last 16 NYG O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    To clear a mid-level total, both teams must contribute to the scoring. There are no worries about Washington with dynamic QB Jayden Daniels. The Giants are another matter. Their offense has outscored just one other in the league. It has operated all season with a home-field disadvantage, having scored 7.8 ppg while going 0-4. QB Daniel Jones' combined passing and rushing TDs in the past six home dates: zero. Maybe New York can borrow from the defensive game plan employed last Sunday by the Bears. The Commanders' lone touchdown came via a Hail Mary pass on the game's final snap.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:22 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Over / UnderUnder 44.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +380
    7-3 in Last 10 NFL O/U Picks
    +80
    3-2 in Last 5 WAS O/U Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    These teams had trouble finishing drives and ended up combining for 38 points on the first meeting. Commanders rely a lot on splash plays for TDs, outside the RZ, and not sure that will be there for them today. I also expect a heavy dose of the run for both teams. NYG games are under this total in 7 of 8 games. Giants home games 10-2 to the under since '23, averaging 32.17 points, lowest in NFL. Jayden Daniels still dealing with rib injury and NYG pass rush is elite. This series is 7-3-1 to the under since '19. Daniel Jones is 19-4-1 to the under at home and Commanders D has been getting better by the week.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:18 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Point SpreadN.Y. Giants +4 -105
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    +235
    10-7-1 in Last 18 WAS ATS Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    We are backing up our ML play with a suggestion of taking the points in a game we believe will be decided on a short key number either way.

    Pick Made: Sun 4:01 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Point SpreadWashington -3.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1678
    33-15-1 in Last 49 NFL ATS Picks
    +866
    22-12-2 in Last 36 NYG ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    Great spot to play a Commanders team that may have created doubt in some minds given they barely edged the Giants in their first meeting and barely snuck past the Bears last week. Washington’s defense continues to trend upward under Dan Quinn; it’s allowed 12.3 points per game over the last four against teams not named the Ravens. The offense is clearly far better than what New York is fielding, too. Just consider the matchup: Jayden Daniels vs. Daniel Jones. Does much more need to be said? We have seen the Giants struggle against quality offenses and defenses. They have been outscored 71-28 over the last three weeks (14.3 points per game). I wouldn’t be surprised if this winds up a double-digit win for Washington.

    Pick Made: Sun 3:54 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Made Field GoalsAustin Seibert Over 1.5 Total Made Field Goals -123
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1330
    46-26 in Last 72 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Austin Seibert drilled seven field goals in the last meeting with the Giants, and he's made at least two in six of seven games this season. Washington should run wild against a Giants team giving up an NFL-high 5.4 yards per carry, putting Seibert in position to cash this prop.

    Pick Made: Nov 03, 2:29 am UTC on Caesars
    Money LineN.Y. Giants +180
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +400
    8-3 in Last 11 NFL ML Picks
    +100
    2-1 in Last 3 NYG ML Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    The tough-luck Giants have dropped three straight since their road upset of the Seahawks. But had a couple breaks fallen their way, this self-destructive club could at least be at .500. The reborn Commanders keep finding ways to win, the mostly unlikely of which was last week's walk-off Hail Mary against the Bears. At some point their good fortune is due for regression, and this is that time. New York outplayed Washington in their first meeting, sacked Jayden Daniels five times and held the Commanders out of the end zone. Look for an inspired Giants club to finish the job this time.

    Pick Made: Nov 02, 7:29 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsMalik Nabers Over 67.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1197
    20-7 in Last 27 NFL Player Props Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    Malik Nabers has been targeted an astonishing 66 times over his last 5 games. His efficiency has been down thanks to secondaries giving him a ton of attention, but the target share and air yard share remains too significant to ignore. I don't expect Tyrone Tracy to play in this game, but either way, I think the Giants will need to pass in order to succeed offensively and Nabers is set to get another huge allotment of targets. In his first matchup versus Washington (Week 2) Nabers caught 10 of 17 targets for 127 yards. We only need to get about half of that in this matchup.

    Pick Made: Nov 01, 12:43 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Total Made Field GoalsAustin Seibert Over 1.5 Total Made Field Goals -105
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +219.5
    5-3 in Last 8 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    Despite not playing in Week 1, Seibert has made 23 field goals and is tied with Chris Boswell for the league lead. He is over this 1.5 total in 6 of 7 games, including seven made FGs vs. New York in Week 2. I'll predict a three field goal day in Week 9 for the Commanders' placekicker.

    Pick Made: Nov 01, 12:54 am UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsMalik Nabers Over 68.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.5
    +336
    26-19 in Last 45 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Despite being a rookie WR and having subpar QB play (putting it lightly..) while playing on an anemic passing offense, Malik Nabers has already proven to be one of the NFL's best WRs. You could even make an argument that Nabers has the best target profile of any WR and it is fair to wonder how good his numbers would be with even average QB play. Nabers ranks in the top 98 percentile in target share, air yard share, WOPR, Open Score, Targets/Route, Expected YPPR. Now he faces a Commanders pass defense that has improved as the season has progressed but still ranks in the bottom 10 in nearly every defensive passing metric. This line should be at least 74.5 in my opinion.

    Pick Made: Oct 31, 8:32 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsJayden Daniels Over 45.5 Total Rushing Yards -118
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +165
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    This hit in 4 of his last 5 games, including vs the Panthers in just one series due to a rib injury. The Giants allow 5.9/carry to QBs - 28th in the NFL. They cannot defend the run in a traditional sense, let alone when torqued by the need to defend a premier rushing QB threat as well. I was surprised how much Daniels ran against Chicago last week after barely practicing due to the rib injury, and his instincts are so great and he is so elusive, I see him leaning into that in a tight division game. Also not sure the young Giants DL will be disciplined enough with mush rush to hem him in; you get behind him and he's gone.

    Pick Made: Oct 31, 3:07 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Over / UnderOver 43.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +561
    9-3-1 in Last 13 NFL Picks
    +421
    13-9 in Last 22 NFL O/U Picks
    +706
    18-10 in Last 28 NYG O/U Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    These two teams played a weird 21-18 game in Week 2, with the team scoring 21 (Commanders) kicking seven FGs and not punting while the team scoring 18 (Giants) had three TDs and no kicker. That game should've flown over 43, and I expect this one gets there this time. Jayden Daniels should be healthier after another FG fest last week, while the Giants offense was able to score 18 (they love that number) against a great pass rush without Andrew Thomas at left tackle. 24-20 shouldn't be an issue for these offenses, and a 30-point effort from Washington is certainly on the table.

    Pick Made: Oct 30, 9:03 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Point SpreadWashington -3.5 -108
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1647.5
    61-37 in Last 98 NFL Picks
    +337
    9-5 in Last 14 NFL ATS Picks
    +1186
    26-13-1 in Last 40 WAS ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    The Giants outplayed Washington in their 21-18 loss in Week 2 and probably would have won if they had had a healthy kicker. A lot has changed since then. The Commanders' pass rush has surged and generated pressure on 51.6 percent of Caleb Williams' dropbacks last week. That spells trouble for the G-Men, who remain without LT Andrew Thomas and just gave up a 51.2 percent pressure rate in Pittsburgh. Playing at MetLife Stadium has been a disaster for the Giants, who have gone 0-4 while scoring a total of 31 points. Jayden Daniels has thrown two interceptions all season and should have another huge game, prompting Giants fans to wonder what might have been if the team hadn't signed Daniel Jones through 2026.

    Pick Made: Oct 30, 6:28 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Point SpreadWashington -3.5 -104
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +866
    24-14 in Last 38 NFL Picks
    +766
    23-14 in Last 37 NFL ATS Picks
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 WAS ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    This offense has been exciting for the Commanders behind rookie QB Jayden Daniels. Despite not being 100%, he was productive enough last week vs Chicago. I was more impressed with the Commanders defense and that will be the reason why they cover vs the Giants.

    Pick Made: Oct 30, 2:08 am UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadWashington -3.5 -105
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    +185
    3-2 in Last 5 WAS ATS Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Commanders are 6-1-1 ATS, often covering quite easily, They are 8-4-1 ATS on the road since the start of '23. They only beat NYG by 3 points in their first meeting, but held the ball for over 37 mins, outgained them by 121 yards and ran for 215 yards. Giants are beat up on short rest, and very limited offensively. They can't stop the run, allowing an NFL-worst 6.2/carry the last 4 weeks. WSH defense has improved greatly from last year and from week to week. Jayden Daniels continues to dazzle, while Daniel Jones is 3-7 ATS in his last 10 at home (they held the Giants to 304 net yards). Every Giants loss has been by 5+, except for the NYG game.

    Pick Made: Oct 29, 4:28 am UTC on Caesars

    Team Injuries

    Washington Commanders
    Monday, Nov 04, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Cornelius Lucas
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Marshon Lattimore
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Brian Robinson Jr.
    HamstringQuestionable
    New York Giants
    Monday, Nov 04, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Bryce Ford-Wheaton
    AchillesQuestionable
    Avatar
    P
    Jamie Gillan
    HamstringQuestionable
    Sunday, Nov 03, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Darius Slayton
    ConcussionQuestionable
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