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    Sun, Oct 275:00 pm UTCRaymond James Stadium
    80 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Atlanta
    Falcons
    ATL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L6-6
    ATS5-7
    O/U4-8-0
    FINAL SCORE
    31
    -
    26
    Tampa Bay
    Buccaneers
    TB
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L6-6
    ATS7-5
    O/U8-4-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    6-6
    Win /Loss
    6-6
    5-7
    Spread
    7-5
    4-8-0
    Over / Under
    8-4-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    DE
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    CB
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    LB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    ATL @ TB
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    ATL @ TB
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    ATL @ TB
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    62%
    PUBLIC
    38%
    MONEY
    60%
    PUBLIC
    40%
    MONEY
    Over83%
    PUBLIC
    Under17%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Over / UnderUnder 46.5 -108
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +987
    44-31-2 in Last 77 NFL Picks
    +65
    4-3 in Last 7 NFL O/U Picks
    +442
    11-6 in Last 17 ATL O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    This total seems awfully high with Tampa Bay injured WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin missing. Nearly half of Baker Mayfield's passes as a Bus have been addressed to the elite pair. His passer rating with them on the field is far better than without. He surely will make shorter throws -- and probably fewer overall than usual. If the Falcons land on their average of 23 ppg, the Bucs would have to exceed it for an Over to prevail. Doesn't seem likely.

    Pick Made: Oct 27, 3:53 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsRachaad White Over 3.5 Total Receptions +120
    WIN
    Unit1.5
    +234
    6-4 in Last 10 NFL Player Props Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    White was already essentially a WR in disguise in the Tampa Bay backfield. Given the club's dire injury situation at WR, look for White to exceed a number he already has clipped three times this season.

    Pick Made: Oct 27, 3:34 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Money LineAtlanta -133
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +90
    4-3 in Last 7 NFL Picks
    +88
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ML Picks
    +100
    2-1 in Last 3 ATL ML Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    The Bucs limped out of last week's 41-31 loss to the Ravens. WR Mike Evans re-injured his hamstring, and WR Chris Godwin is done for the season after dislocating his ankle. Bucs rookie RB Bucky Irving is also banged up, but is expected to play. As impressive as Baker Mayfield has been thus far, I'm not so sure he can beat a division rival on a short week after losing his WR1 & WR2, who are both studs. I'm not all that high on this Falcons team, but I do think they will simply have more firepower in this matchup. Atlanta QB Kirk Cousins is 40-26 ATS following a loss, and 3-0 SU against NFC South opponents this year.

    Pick Made: Oct 27, 2:19 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsCade Otton Over 44.5 Total Receiving Yards -120
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +802.5
    35-14 in Last 49 NFL Player Props Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    Bucs tight end Cade Otton has topped this number in three of his past five and finished with 44 yards in another. His target share could skyrocket with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin both out.

    Pick Made: Oct 26, 11:13 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerDrake London Anytime Touchdown Scorer +115
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +174
    7-5 in Last 12 NFL Player Props Picks
    Megan's Analysis:

    Drake London leads NFL receivers in red zone catches (10) and is 2nd among receivers in red zone targets (12). He has scored a touchdown in five of seven games played this season and we are getting London's Anytime Touchdown at plus money. This is a gift!

    Pick Made: Oct 26, 4:12 am UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsCade Otton Over 44.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +174
    7-5 in Last 12 NFL Player Props Picks
    Megan's Analysis:

    With the loss of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, TE Cade Otton will likely be a top target for QB Baker Mayfield. Last week after Evans left the game, Otton saw 10 targets. I like Otton to have a high target share and air yards share this week vs. the Falcons.

    Pick Made: Oct 26, 4:06 am UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsBijan Robinson Over 62.5 Total Rushing Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +278.5
    27-21 in Last 48 NFL Player Props Picks
    Dave's Analysis:

    Robinson's gotten back on track against bad run defenses, gaining at least 95 rush yards in each of his past two games. The Bucs run defense isn't bad no matter how Derrick Henry made them look on Monday, but changes to their offense make me think this will be more of a grind-it-out type of game unlike what we saw a few weeks ago. I don't see the Bucs offense being the same without Evans and Godwin, and that means fewer points for them. It should also mean a slower-pace for the Falcons, giving more opportunities to Robinson, who's earned them over the past two weeks as he's thankfully out-touched Tyler Allgeier 30 to 13 in the first three quarters.

    Pick Made: Oct 25, 8:42 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Rushing + Receiving YardsBijan Robinson Over 89.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -114
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +681.5
    41-29 in Last 70 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Bijan Robinson has turned his season around after a very slow start that saw him struggling toting the rock. While Bijan was struggling on the ground, he's been elite out of the backfield as a receiver and ranks 1st in ESPNs receiver rating metric, which is why I like this combo line as he's going to be heavily involved regardless of gamescript. Bijan's rushing efficiency has improved in recent weeks and I like this matchup for him against a Bucs defense that has the 9th worst EPA per rush.

    Pick Made: Oct 25, 3:12 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerDrake London Anytime Touchdown Scorer +110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +29
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Kirk Cousins trusts him a ton in the RZ, and he is also a threat from longer range. He ate up the Bucs a few weeks back, catching 12 of 13 targets for 154 yards and a TD. He has a TD in 5 of the last 6 games. Bucs secondary is looking shaky and they have to blitz to generate any pass rush - Cousins looks his way in a lot of those spots. London leads the NFL with 10 RZ catches, is 2nd with 12 RZ targets and is tied for 1st with 5 RZ receiving TDs. Falcons array of body types presents match-up problems in tight spaces.

    Pick Made: Oct 24, 1:23 am UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Passing TouchdownsBaker Mayfield Over 1.5 Total Passing Touchdowns +160
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +29
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    I realize he just lost his two best WRs, but this system and scheme ain't bad and he can still produce in the RZ throwing to a multitude of backs and tight ends and other WRs will step up, too. This is how they score the ball, Baker threw for 3 against Atlanta just a few weeks ago, the Falcons have no pass rush and Mayfield has hit this in 4 straight games and 5 of 7. Falcons have already allowed 10 passing TDs, 26th in the NFL. Mike Evans had been limited with a serious hamstring issue already and was still very productive. Even when he throws picks he keeps slingign the ball in the RZ.

    Pick Made: Oct 24, 1:11 am UTC on BetMGM
    Total Home PointsTampa Bay Under 22.5 Total Pts -106
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +90
    3-2 in Last 5 NFL Team Props Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Bucs are down their top two receivers, who might be the best WR duo in the league at this point. It's a massive downgrade for the offense, which is No. 1 in third-down percentage this season but will have to lean on Jalen McMillan, Sterling Shepard and Cade Otton in those situations moving forward. While the Bucs scored 30 in the first meeting between these teams, I expect some touchdowns to turn into FGs and some FGs to turn into punts even against a defense without a pass rush like Atlanta.

    Pick Made: Oct 24, 12:02 am UTC on FanDuel
    Over / UnderOver 45.5 -118
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +400
    4-0 in Last 4 NFL Picks
    +290
    4-1 in Last 5 NFL O/U Picks
    +380
    6-2 in Last 8 TB O/U Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    This game was heading to a total north of 50 before the Bucs lost WR Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. And they are special players. But neither defense is special, they just combined for 66 points 2 weeks ago, this series is 8-3 to the over (average score 53.5), with an average score of 51.8 in last 5 at TB. Bucs are 5-2 to over, averaging 55.85/G (2nd) and ATL is over in 3 of last 4. Both teams have played 4 straight games over this total. Baker Mayfield has thrown 2+ TD in 4 straight games, and Kirk Cousins just shredded a TB D that is 28th in Yds/play. Bucs have scored 30+ in 4 straight and can still move ball with RBs/TEs.

    Pick Made: Oct 23, 1:38 am UTC on FanDuel
    Over / UnderOver 46 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1157
    85-68-2 in Last 155 NFL Picks
    +302
    24-19 in Last 43 NFL O/U Picks
    +190
    3-1 in Last 4 TB O/U Picks
    Jimmie's Analysis:

    Atlanta struggled on offense in Week 7, and Tampa Bay lost Chris Godwin and Mike Evans to injury. But in my opinion, this point total is a bit of an overreaction. The Falcons are much better than what they showed on Sunday, and Baker Mayfield leads the NFL in touchdown passes (18). Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in defensive scoring and I still expect plenty of offense in this Week 8 matchup. I see this game finishing with 50+ total points scored.

    Pick Made: Oct 22, 7:57 pm UTC on DraftKings

    Team Injuries

    Atlanta Falcons
    Wednesday, Dec 04, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Troy Andersen
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Nate Landman
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Zach Harrison
    AchillesQuestionable
    Monday, Dec 02, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Jase McClellan
    KneeQuestionable
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Wednesday, Dec 04, 2024
    Avatar
    CB
    Troy Hill
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Mike Evans
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Anthony Nelson
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Tristan Wirfs
    FootQuestionable
    Monday, Dec 02, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Joe Tryon-Shoyinka
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    Tykee Smith
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Bucky Irving
    HipQuestionable
    Sunday, Dec 01, 2024
    Avatar
    SAF
    Mike Edwards
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    K.J. Britt
    AnkleQuestionable
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