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    Sun, Oct 138:25 pm UTCAT&T Stadium
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Detroit
    Lions
    DET
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L7-1
    ATS7-1
    O/U4-4-0
    FINAL SCORE
    47
    -
    9
    Dallas
    Cowboys
    DAL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L3-5
    ATS2-6
    O/U4-4-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    7-1
    Win /Loss
    3-5
    7-1
    Spread
    2-6
    4-4-0
    Over / Under
    4-4-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    DE
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    G
    Avatar
    QB
    Avatar
    CB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    DET @ DAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    DET @ DAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    DET @ DAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    68%
    PUBLIC
    32%
    MONEY
    64%
    PUBLIC
    36%
    MONEY
    Over70%
    PUBLIC
    Under30%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadDallas +3.5 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    +185
    8-6 in Last 14 DAL ATS Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    Last week, we saw the Cowboys prevail amid circumstances in which they often melt. What we haven't seen is them win a home game. This should be a high motivation spot and a value play against an explosive Lions club.

    Pick Made: Oct 13, 7:36 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Point SpreadDetroit -3 -119
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1647.5
    61-37 in Last 98 NFL Picks
    +337
    9-5 in Last 14 NFL ATS Picks
    +1490
    25-9 in Last 34 DAL ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Micah Parsons, Eric Kendricks, DeMarcus Lawrence and Marshawn Kneeland are among the Cowboys' defenders who will miss this game. That's bad news against a balanced Lions attack that won't get away from the run. With center Frank Ragnow returning, the Lions' elite offensive line should clear enough holes for Detroit to play from ahead. Look for Dallas' home struggles to continue.

    Pick Made: Oct 13, 6:34 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Point SpreadDetroit -3 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1678
    33-15-1 in Last 49 NFL ATS Picks
    +1138
    16-4 in Last 20 DET ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    The Cowboys were the right play against a Steelers team that struggled to move the ball offensively, and Dallas won that game by the skin of its teeth with a late score. The Lions may not be as strong defensively, but their offense is at another level, particularly when fully healthy and rested like they will be Sunday afternoon off the bye. The Cowboys are limited offensively without a consistent running game, and that should allow the Lions to keep Dak Prescott under pressure all day. Meanwhile, Detroit’s Jared Goff may be able to do whatever he wants against a weaker, banged-up defense. If the hook gets added, I’d still probably play the Lions, but they are a much better call at a flat -3.

    Pick Made: Oct 13, 5:20 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsRico Dowdle Under 44.5 Total Rushing Yards -108
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +962.5
    34-20 in Last 54 NFL Player Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    Last week I bet on Dowdle big and he came through. But this week against the Detroit Lions run defense that has been stout. I think Dowdle is more quiet.

    Pick Made: Oct 13, 4:43 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUnder 52.5 -108
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +933
    58-46 in Last 104 NFL Picks
    +171
    5-3 in Last 8 NFL O/U Picks
    +92
    2-1 in Last 3 DET O/U Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    All I'm seeing are bets coming in on the Over, and Overs on player props across the board in this game. Not surprising, as we should expect some high-octane offense between these teams who can move the ball downfield with regularity. However, 52.5 is extremely high. In fact, it's the highest total of the week. This season, totals to close above 50 are 4-0 to the Under, plummeting under the total by an average margin of 13.6 PPG. The Lions should look to exploit the Cowboys weak run defense, and a measured rush-heavy attack should sap time off the clock. Dan Campbell's Lions often play in games with high game totals, but when the total is above 50 the Under is 11-5.

    Pick Made: Oct 13, 1:58 pm UTC on Sugar House
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsJahmyr Gibbs Over 58.5 Total Rushing Yards -112
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1330
    46-26 in Last 72 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Jahmyr Gibbs has run for at least 78 yards in three straight games, and now he gets to face a depleted Cowboys' run defense. Gibbs is averaging 5.3 yards per carry and getting 13.5 carries per game. The Lions won't get away from their running game, so this is a smash spot for the electric Gibbs.

    Pick Made: Oct 13, 2:27 am UTC on Sugar House
    Point SpreadDetroit -3 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +741
    24-15-1 in Last 40 NFL ATS Picks
    +500
    5-0 in Last 5 DET ATS Picks
    Micah's Analysis:

    The Cowboys have found themselves a bit and have won two straight but haven't won at home yet. They've won four straight on the road dating back to last year but lost three in a row at home and their previous home win was against the Detroit Lions, 20-19. The Lions come off a bye and they have a crisp offense that is just getting charged up after scoring 42 against the Seahawks. The Cowboys have scored 20 the last 2 weeks. Jared Goff comes off a game where he was 18 of 18 for 292 yards. The Lions have the No. 3 offense in the league. Lions win.

    Pick Made: Oct 12, 6:47 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsDavid Montgomery Over 56.5 Total Rushing Yards -113
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1274
    22-10 in Last 32 NFL Player Props Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    Dan Campbell and the Lions RB room must be licking their chops here. The Dallas Cowboys rank bottom of the league in rush success rate, and now must face the vaunted RB tandem of David Montgomery and Jamhyr Gibbs fresh off their bye week. Gibbs & Montgomery will always share the workload, but I believe Montgomery is the RB to target here. He is the perfect style workhorse power-back to put his head down and punch the Cowboys in the mouth at the line of scrimmage. I expect Detroit to go run-heavy in attempt to wear out Dallas's defense, that remains without their captain LB Micah Parsons, and key DL Demarcus Lawrence. I have Montgomery projected for 71 rush yards.

    Pick Made: Oct 12, 10:20 am UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Passing AttemptsJared Goff Under 33.5 Total Passing Attempts -115
    WIN
    Unit1.5
    +633.5
    21-13 in Last 34 NFL Player Props Picks
    Dave's Analysis:

    Goff's had under 25 pass attempts in each of his past two games, both wins in what were expected to be high-scoring games like this one. And, Goff's been under 30 pass attempts in 3 of 4 games this season. It just so happens that the Lions are catching the Cowboys without stout run-stopping linebacker Eric Kendricks, he won't play. That should make the matchup all the better for the Lions running game. Here's the sneaky part: Three of the past four teams against Dallas threw the ball 28 or fewer times ... and two of those teams won and the third lost on a last-second touchdown.

    Pick Made: Oct 11, 8:42 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsJake Ferguson Over 48.5 Total Receiving Yards -113
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +336
    26-19 in Last 45 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Jake Ferguson is in the midst of a big time breakout season and is proving to be one of then league's elite TEs. Ferguson is earning targets at a sky high rate and he also benefits fro the Cowboys playcalling and lack of a consistent running game. He gets a great matchup against a sub par Detroit pass defense. This could also be a spot where Dallas is forced to air the ball out a ton as the Lions are capable of pushing Dallas. Look for Ferguson to continue to be a focal point and one of Dak's favorite targets.

    Pick Made: Oct 11, 8:40 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsDak Prescott Over 278.5 Total Passing Yards -114
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +219.5
    5-3 in Last 8 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    Prescott is over this number is 3 of 5 games this season and 11 of his last 17 games dating back to last year. In 2024, he is second in passing attempts and third in passing yards per game. It's all about the volume! Dak threw for 345 yards against Detroit in December and I'd almost be surprised if he failed to top 300 again against a beatable pass defense.

    Pick Made: Oct 11, 3:37 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Passing AttemptsDak Prescott Over 37.5 Total Passing Attempts -102
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +165
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    I expect the Cowboys have a hard time keeping pace in this game and I don't see them being able to run the ball on this Lions front at all. CeeDee Lamb is pouty after last week and will demand to be fed. The TE should see plenty of looks. Dude is going over 50/G his last 5 at home and even during their long home winning streak, when they were blowing teams out and could run the ball some, he was throwing 36 or more times with regularity. This looks like 40 or more to me.

    Pick Made: Oct 10, 8:14 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsDavid Montgomery Over 57.5 Total Rushing Yards -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +165
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Montgomery is the tone setter for the Lions offense and I suspect they want to send an immediate message to a weak Cowboys defensive front about how they can push then around. Montgomery went for 65 of 14 carriers at Dallas last year - a better version of the Dallas D. He is over this in 11 of his last 16 road games he finished, and he was at 55 yards in two others. They like bullying people in their own backyard and have more than enough in the trenches to do it here.

    Pick Made: Oct 10, 1:20 am UTC on BetMGM
    Avatar
    Longest RushJahmyr Gibbs Over 14.5 Longest Rush -118
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +165
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Gibbs has a long rush of 17 yards or more in 12 of his last 15 games. He usually comes into games after David Montgomery has already started to soften a defense up, and can gash them with speed after the power. Dallas gave up a long over this in its first 3 games, and I'm old enough to remember all the explosive runs the Saints and Ravens mustered on them in Dallas. This Lions OL will beat them up, and Dallas lacks run stuffers to stop them. Ravens had 4 of 15+ in that game alone, and that was before Demarcus Lawrence got hurt. Cowboys had 17 missed tackles in run game vs NO and BAL. Gibbs's elite speed will be a problem.

    Pick Made: Oct 10, 1:12 am UTC on BetMGM
    Point SpreadDetroit -3 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.5
    +933
    58-46 in Last 104 NFL Picks
    +237
    13-10 in Last 23 NFL ATS Picks
    +450
    3-0 in Last 3 DET ATS Picks
    Daniel's Analysis:

    There is a huge mismatch at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball that Detroit can exploit here. The Cowboys have struggled mightily to stop the run. Behind a strong offensive line, Lions RBs David Montgomery and Jamhyr Gibbs might have a field day at Dallas’ expense. The Cowboys have had difficulty getting their own run game started, and it won’t get any easier against Lions monster DTs DJ Reader and Alim McNeil. Lions DE Aidan Hutchinson leads the NFL in QB pressures by a wide margin, and he should have Cowboys QB Dak Prescott flustered in the pocket all day long. Fresh of their bye week, Lions roll.

    Pick Made: Oct 09, 9:28 am UTC on Sugar House
    Point SpreadDetroit -3 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1790
    31-12-2 in Last 45 NFL ATS Picks
    +1099
    32-19 in Last 51 DAL ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    The Lions are nasty enough with the typical complement of injuries at this time of the season. Coming off a bye, they deployed every player on the roster at practice Tuesday, which makes them especially imposing here. Dallas' defense is banged up and the offense, hampered by a soft ground game, has managed just 20 points apiece in the last two outings, albeit both wins. The Lions should pound RBs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs against a vulnerable rush D. Detroit has covered in all but one of its last seven road games.

    Pick Made: Oct 08, 10:26 pm UTC on BetMGM
    Point SpreadDetroit -3 -112
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    +585
    6-1 in Last 7 DAL ATS Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Cowboys have no DL to speak of and can't stop the run vs any team with a real OL and intent to run it. Lions two-back attack is a monster and love Jared Goff vs a toothless defense that will have to blitz to get pressure. Don't get fooled by DAL on MNF, they cant run it here and Dak will turn it over with too much volume chucking it around. Aiden Hutchinson will go off. Love rested Lions off bye facing DAL on short week. Cowboys now vulnerable at home, 0-4 ATS last 4 including playoffs following 12-3 ATS run. DET 13-5 ATS on road since start of '23, best in NFL. Can move the ball on ground or through the air at will.

    Pick Made: Oct 08, 4:06 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Point SpreadDetroit -3 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1516
    30-13-1 in Last 44 NFL Picks
    +470
    8-3-1 in Last 12 NFL ATS Picks
    +400
    4-0 in Last 4 DET ATS Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    It wouldn't surprise me if this line clicks up to -3.5 during the week as the Cowboys are a very average team at this point in the season. The Cowboys also continue to be banged up, particularly on the defensive side of the ball, and now they get a Lions team coming off a bye. Jared Goff appears to have found his form, gets a dome environment and has his skill players healthy. The Cowboys need more firepower on offense to keep up and I don't think they have it.

    Pick Made: Oct 08, 12:55 pm UTC on DraftKings

    Team Injuries

    Detroit Lions
    Monday, Nov 04, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Malcolm Rodriguez
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Josh Paschal
    IllnessQuestionable
    Avatar
    DT
    Mekhi Wingo
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Sione Vaki
    KneeQuestionable
    Sunday, Nov 03, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Jalen Reeves-Maybin
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Dallas Cowboys
    Tuesday, Nov 05, 2024
    Avatar
    QB
    Dak Prescott
    HamstringOut
    Monday, Nov 04, 2024
    Avatar
    CB
    DaRon Bland
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Micah Parsons
    AnkleQuestionable
    Sunday, Nov 03, 2024
    Avatar
    G
    Zack Martin
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    CeeDee Lamb
    Shoulder - AC JointQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    Juanyeh Thomas
    HeadQuestionable
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