This is a steep price to pay, but I think this is a fairly safe bet. Garrett has notched a sack in both games he's played this season, and he only has to get a shared sack for this to hit.

The Browns defense has largely dominated at home, and it should swarm a Giants team that cannot seem to get anything going offensively. New York has averaged 12 points against Minnesota and Washington … and how it has to play Cleveland at home? This is a large spread and not one normally worth considering as long as Deshaun Watson is under center, but if they can get anything going on the ground to open some passing lanes, this could wind up being a double-digit victory for the hosts.

How is that inept Giants offense going to even reach 10 points against one of the NFL's top defenses? Seems like there's already in-fighting on Big Blue as well. Can almost guarantee at least one Daniel Jones turnover. Cleveland's Deshaun Watson will get one of his top linemen back from injury in Jedrick Wills.

Singletary was good last week but this is now Cleveland in Cleveland where they are stingy giving up yards.

I don't typically like to bet point totals this low, but I simply don't see the Giants scoring enough on this Browns defense for this point total to hit. Cleveland has some nice weapons on offense, but they are far from a powerhouse on that side of the ball. This is a game I see finishing around 23-13 in Cleveland's favor.

New York is easily one of the worst teams in the league. The Browns are only averaging 17.5 points per game, and, at times, their offense can struggle just as much as New York. While the Giants defense struggles to get off the field most of the time, the Cleveland offense doesn’t seem that explosive to blow a team away. The Giants offensive line has not been the problem, Daniel Jones is getting good protection, but he struggles simply completing passes. For some reason, this feel like a New York spot where they can pull off a backdoor cover.

This one is pretty simple: The Browns are aggressive on defense, and Daniel Jones is Daniel Jones. Cleveland has yet to notch an INT this season, but I expect that to change this week.

The Giants appear firmly entrenched as the Underdog Nobody Wants in Week 3. This is understandable but there's an argument to be made that laying a TD with a grinding, defense-oriented team with its own questionable QB play isn't the safest bet on the board. Look for the Giants to be stubborn in this one and take it to the wire.

The Giants were unable to force a punt last week, though they prevented Washington from scoring a touchdown. Now they could be without pass rusher Brian Burns, who is questionable with a groin injury. If he can't go, Cleveland's offense could look better than it has this season, especially with Browns left tackle Jedrick Wills expected to make his season debut. Look for Jim Schwartz's defense to dominate as Cleveland covers.

The Giants are having all kinds of issue on the offensive side of the ball, and they are facing what may be the league's best defense here. Getting this line under a touchdown is a great value. Barring any unforeseen personnel changes, I have the Browns winning by 10 on Sunday.

The Browns were lucky to win last week after getting outgained by 1.3 yards per play, and yet I think this could be their breakout game. The Giants defense is awful, failing to stop the Commanders from scoring on a single drive despite Washington's lack of passing-game weapons. Deshaun Watson looked solid in the first half last week and should excel here if kept clean. That'll come down to the O-line getting reinforcements, and I'll trust Jack Conklin at least is back with full practices this week. This line could move quickly with a positive injury report Friday, so I'm jumping on it now.

Without a stable situation at kicker, the Giants offense could be a little more aggressive than usual this week vs Cleveland. Unfortunately, the Browns defense thrives on getting pressure and making teams one-dimensional. Don't be swayed by the near touchdown point spread, this one will be a comfortable cover.