Several angles here, including the fact the Birds have seen all six at the Linc reach at least 48 points. Perhaps "over" worth a look, except to note the collection of potent foes who have played at the Linc this season (Dolphins, 49ers, etc), none resembling the G-Men. Philly also hasn't won by more than 14 points. But the Tommy DeVito-led Giants offense is always apt to stall, and there is urgency attached here to Philly, off of three straight losses. The NFC East is also now there for the taking after the Dallas loss on Sunday, and this is where the Birds can get well as they did in the Division Round vs. the G-Men last January. Play Eagles

The spread has shot up several points, driven not by any news but the apparent perception that Philly will plow through the Giants and shed its losing streak of three games. Yet New York is no longer the terrible team it was a month or so ago. Over the past four games, it is seventh best in the league for rushing and ninth for points allowed. While acknowledging that the Eagles have been subjected to a torturous schedule recently, their defense has been pushed around. The Giants could easily score 20-plus points, which would burden QB Jalen Hurts and the offense with the need to reach the mid-30s for a cover.

D'Andre Swift hasn't been amazing by any stretch this season, but he is the #1 RB on a team favored by two touchdowns and he gets his second favorable matchup in a row. He hit this number last week but it did require the 17th of his 18 carries to do it. I think he'll have a slightly easier time surpassing the number this week and I do think he gets in the neighborhood of 15 carries. If that's the case, he'll need just over 4 YPC to eclipse this number (NYG is allowing over 4.5 YPC to Running Backs).

The Giants have been the best "Under" team in football for the past three seasons, going 44-20-2 to the Under since 2020. This season the Giants are 10-4 to the Under, and I expect this game's total to fall below the key number of 43. This could be a "get right" spot for a struggling Eagles defense. Philadelphia are -13.5 favorites, so it is likely they will be playing with the lead, running the ball and chewing up clock. The Giants defense should also get up for this rivalry game, as they look to play spoiler against their NFC East foes.

Giants tight end Darren Waller injured his hamstring in Week 8 and missed several weeks. When he returned in Week 15 at New Orleans, Waller ran just 22 routes but he drew six targets, catching four for 40 yards. The Eagles are vulnerable at linebacker. They won't have linebacker Zach Cunningham (knee) and linebacker Nicholas Morrow (abdomen) is questionable. With New York likely to be trailing big, I bet Waller to make at least four grabs.

If this kid is going to stick in this league, his legs will be vital. Big divisional game, on the road, against an angry Eagles D. Traditional offense might not work here and either way, this QB is ready to run. He sailed over this early last week at Saints before leaving game for a while. Ran 10 times the week before that. I expect 8+ carries and against an Eagles D that is looking softer vs the run these days, I see him scampered for 10+ at least once or twice.

Eagles may win this going away, eliminating runs for Barkley in the second half, and they may sell out to stop Saquon on the ground like the Saints did last week. But Cutlets will be on their move either way. He would have gone over this in the first half alone last week before he headed to the medical tent. They need an element of wild cat or QB runs and the rookie always seems up for it. He is overt this in three of the previous four games prior to last week. Eagles are a blow average team defending QB scrambles, allowing 7 yards/rush.

AJ Brown has come back down to earth just a bit after playing like a potential OPOY candidate over the first eight weeks of the season. Brown and the Eagles will look to get back on track after losing three consecutive games. Even with moderate passing volume, Brown should be productive here. He's an elite route runner who leads the NFL in first-read target rate and is going against a weak secondary.

This looks like a fantastic get right spot for not just Jalen Hurts but all Eagles after losing three consecutive games. Jalen has failed to throw a passing TD in back to back games after throwing at least one in 11/12 games this season. Hurts will face a Giants pass defense that is subpar and possesses the 2nd highest blitz rate only behind the Vikings. The Eagles and Hurts have been excellent handling the blitz all season and I expect that to be the case on Christmas as well. Look for Hurts to carve up New York's defense.

The Giants have to show more conviction in the run game after letting Cutlets get filleted by the Saints in New Orleans last week. Surely they will keep handing the ball off, even if it's looking going to great, because they have a RB capable of breaking a long one, right? Eagles getting saggy vs the run now too. Barkley averages 5/carry vs them for his career and he is over this total in ever division game this season except the 40-loss to Dallas. After giving up 76 sacks already this season, nearing the end of a lost season, I expect Daboll to try to grind this out with a rookie QB vs a desperate opponent that reached the Super Bowl last year.

The Eagles have opened both of their games out of the bye featuring Hurts's legs. The offense is stagnant and there is no use holding anything back anymore. This is option football, back to the future. I'd be shocked if he doesn't keep it at least twice on the first drive and give that blitz-heavy D some pause. Going for 80 yards like last week would not shock me. Will jump the rushing attempts prop when it opens (I'm guessing at 9.5 or 10.5) because I project more like a dozen runs here, especially if Giants keep it relatively close (plus kneel downs). NYG are 31st in the NFL allowing 9.3 yards/scramble. Under fire, Hurts will take matters into his own hands, er, legs.

The Eagles are in must-win mode, they are back at home against a familiar opponent that is 30th against the rush and 24th in the RZ. At a time when the Eagles don't have much to bank on offensively and no RB finishes drives for them, on a day in which they'll probably get to several goal-to-go situations, this is my play. Hurts is back to running more in general now and is scoring outside of The Tush Push, too. His ATD numbers are opening around 1:2 now, but I still like this play, He has 2 TDs in 3 of the last 5 games. He's done it twice at home already, where the Eagles seem to really relish playing rugby with their QB.

Right now the Eagles are on a three game skid; defense is under fire and their offense hasn't looked as smooth as it did last season. The best remedy for it, the New York Football Giants. Expect the Eagles to get things back on track against their division rival.

The Eagles have now lost three straight games after a 10-1 start, but the good news is that the brutal part of their schedule is over. This is a great bounceback spot, especially for an offense that hasn't scored 20 points during any of the recent losses. The positive Giants run in recent weeks came to an end against a mediocre Saints team, and this is the first elite offense they've faced since Dallas put up 640 yards and 49 points. I have this spread projected at Eagles -14 in my power ratings.