This is the Jets' season -- if they win, then it makes some sense to let Aaron Rodgers return next week. Lose and no. We saw glimpses of how that Miami offense struggled without Tyreek Hill on Monday when he left for a bit and he's out today. The Fins are also a bit banged up on the O-Line and in the secondary -- plus that short week. And that it's quite windy here in south Florida would seem to only help the Jets in making this a more ground-oriented game. DraftKings is the only book still with 7.5.

Miami is struggling to sore quickly and score offensive points in general and they are up against a top defense here that gives their QB fits. I don't buy them putting up points in these spots without the Cheetah and without both of their backs fully healthy and with no TE to worry about. Jets can't score either, don't let last week fool you. McDaniel will be conservative and try to grind this out and Boyle can't throw a stupid Fail Mary to put this one over.

The Dolphins were left shaking their heads after Monday's loss to the Titans, and distractions ramped up alter in the week regarding off-field matters with Tyreek Hill. No matter, this might be a different Jets team than the one Miami whipped 34-13 on Nov. 24 Thanksgiving Friday, as Zach Wilson has returned at QB (Tim Boyle since released) and led a 30-point uprising in the second half last week vs. the Texans. Mind, the Jets have beaten the Bills and Eagles already this season, plus the Broncos and Texans, and covered vs. the Chiefs...all with Wilson at QB. With some production from him, combined with Robert Saleh's defense, the J-Men are not going to be an easy out. Play Jets

Jets running back Breece Hall has not averaged more than 4.0 yards per carry in a game since Oct. 8. But he's become vital to this offense as a receiver, catching five-plus passes in four straight. With the Jets expected to be in comeback mode, I bet Hall at plus money to go Over 4.5 catches.

The best of this number that opened at +12.5 is long gone, but this is the closest we'll get to double figures because it's likely to drop again. ailing Miami WR Tyreek Hill misses the game, this could drop to +7.5 or lower. But even with him hampered at best, we saw the Miami offense struggle to move in its catastrophic meltdown against the Titans. The Miami backfield is also banged up. Considering the Dolphins embarrassed the Jets in their home stadium on Black Friday, New York's mini-resurgence should be enough to cover this and make Miami scrap to notch the win.

We cashed this on Black Friday and I love it here as well, especially with Miami's offenses sputtering lately and some WRs beat up. Tua didn't look right to me on MNF and he seems a little hectic and erratic. This defense owns him, has picked him off 5 times in 4 games (5 in the last 3, actually) and he averages just 180 passing yards/G against them, with just a 90 rating. Tua has thrown 10 already this season. Josh Allen, Mahomes, Hurts, Herbet, Tua and Stroud have combined for 4 TDs and 10 INTs in 6 games vs NYJ this season.