The Browns have scored 13 touchdowns in seven games. At that rate, their defense might need to chalk up one or two, which is possible against green QB Clayton Tune, for a cover. Longtime defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz has haunted rookies behind center. Still, the offense must pick up the pace with rusty QB Deshaun Watson returning to duty. Watson was so-so before his injury. Usually, such massive lines are confined to games with top teams. Cleveland is not.

Even with a rookie QB going against the league's top-ranked defense, this is a play on the underdog against a spread that's gotten out of hand. Deshaun Watson returns for the Browns, but remains unclear how much of an upgrade he represents for them under center.

Moore has clipped this number three times in limited action this year, and the Cardinals' history suggest they look to get him the ball when they are thin at QB. They are scheduled to start rookie Clayton Tune on Sunday. Last year when Kyler Murray was injured. Moore compiled between 34 and 91 yards in six straight games.

Hunt has scored in three consecutive games and last week tied his season-high mark for touches with 15. Cleveland has the top-ranked rushing attack in the NFL so it stands to reason Hunt should get some opportunities near the goal line, and this is a pretty strong overlay for him to find the end zone again.

The Browns are getting Deshaun Watson back for this game, but is that a good thing? He's been more bad than good in his Cleveland tenure, and while he's an upgrade over P.J. Walker, Watson's last attempt at playing showed that Walker could be back under center at any moment. On the Arizona side, Kyler Murray is questionable and could be back, in which case this line should plummet. And we don't know what to expect from Clayton Tune, but this Browns defense has been vulnerable the last few weeks. I'm fading this Cleveland offense laying double digits.

It's unlikely that Kyler Murray will start for AZ this week, even though he has been a full participant in practice. The most points the Cardinals have scored on the road this season is 16 and now rookie QB Clayton Tune will make his first career NFL start on the road against one of the NFL's top defenses. Yikes. The Browns QB situation is also still up in there air. If Watson does play, he'd really struggled with that sprained right rotator cuff and I wouldn't bank on a strong offensive performance just yet. Points will be hard to come by. Give me the Under 37.