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    Mon 01/02 | 1:20 AM UTC | Baltimore
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Pittsburgh Steelers 9-8, 10-6 ATS
    PIT +1-110
    PIT +100
    Over 35.5-110
    Baltimore Ravens 10-8, 9-9 ATS
    BAL -1-110
    BAL -120
    Under 35.5-110

    Expert Picks

    NFL | Pittsburgh 16 @ Baltimore 13 | 01/02 | 1:20 AM UTC

    Pittsburgh +1 -110

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: There will likely be a two-point Sunday shift to this line by the time the game kicks off -- and it makes sense. The Ravens have been abhorrent offensively since Lamar Jackson went down. The Steelers, meanwhile, are starting to make some strides in the passing game now that Kenny Pickett is getting comfortable. Baltimore won this matchup by two on the road a few weeks ago, but Pittsburgh outgained it 264-94 through the air. The difference was three interceptions thrown by Mitch Trubisky, who came in for Pickett after he got knocked out early in the first quarter. The Steelers have no problems winning on the road in this series, and they enter with the more complete team given Jackson's absence. All Pittsburgh needs to do is slow down Baltimore's run a bit. I'll take +1 because, in a game with margins this small, every point matters.

    author-image

    Adam Silverstein

    Florida Favorite
    +200 2-0-1 IN LAST 3 BAL ATS PICKS
    +664 20-12-1 IN LAST 33 PIT ATS PICKS

    Season Splits

    9-8, 10-6 ATS
    10-8, 9-9 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    57%
    8-6-1
    7-8
    47%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    62%
    5-3
    2-5
    29%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    56%
    5-4-1
    4-7
    36%
    When Spread was +1 to +3.5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -3.5 to -1
    67%
    2-1-1
    2-3
    40%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    57%
    4-3
    1-5
    17%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
    20%
    1-4
    3-1
    75%
    vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
    33%
    2-4-1
    3-2
    60%
    After <=8 Days Off
    REST
    After <=8 Days Off
    54%
    6-5-1
    5-7
    42%
    vs BAL
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs PIT
    0%
    0-1
    1-0
    100%