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Tue 12/13 | 1:15 AM UTC | Glendale
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
New England Patriots 8-8, 7-8 ATS
NE -2-110
NE -130
Over 44-110
Arizona Cardinals 4-12, 8-8 ATS
ARI +2-110
ARI +110
Under 44-110

Expert Picks

NFL | New England 27 @ Arizona 13 | 12/13 | 1:15 AM UTC

Arizona +2.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Now that this is +2.5, I have to take it as I don't see it getting higher and perhaps dropping back down. Seems like a talent mismatch in favor of the Cardinals -- especially on offense -- but a bigger coaching mismatch in favor of the Patriots, although New England is downgraded because Matt Patricia is actually allowed to even speak to the offense much less call the plays. Bill Belichick is basically a .500 ATS head coach with the team when Tom Brady is not his QB. Jakobi Meyers and Damien Harris are both out. Meyers leads all New England wideouts in receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns. If the Cardinals can't win this game on the longest possible bye a team can have in the NFL, then the one-time Patriots draft pick Kliff Kingsbury deserves to be fired.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+695 22-10 IN LAST 32 NFL PICKS

Season Splits

8-8, 7-8 ATS
4-12, 8-8 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
6-5-1
6-6
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
3-2-1
3-3
50%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
80%
4-1-1
5-4
56%
When Spread was -4 to -1
SPREAD
When Spread was +1 to +4
100%
3-0-1
3-2
60%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
100%
1-0-1
2-2
50%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
50%
1-1
1-2
33%
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
50%
1-1
2-2
50%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
50%
1-1
0-2
0%
vs ARI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NE
0%
0-0
0-0
0%