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    Sun, Dec 116:00 pm UTCFord Field
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Minnesota
    Vikings
    MIN
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L13-4
    ATS7-9
    O/U6-11-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Detroit
    Lions
    DET
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L9-8
    ATS12-5
    O/U7-10-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    13-4
    Win /Loss
    9-8
    7-9
    Spread
    12-5
    6-11-0
    Over / Under
    7-10-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    C
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    LB
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    QB
    Key Injuries
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    OG
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    DB
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    FB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    MIN @ DET
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    MONEYLINE
    MIN @ DET
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    OVER / UNDER
    MIN @ DET
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    46%
    PUBLIC
    54%
    38%
    PUBLIC
    62%
    Over23%
    PUBLIC
    Under77%

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadMinnesota +2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +800
    18-9-1 in Last 28 NFL Picks
    +800
    18-9-1 in Last 28 NFL ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    Both teams have been cover kings this year with the Lions on a 5-0 ATS streak and the Vikings sitting at 5-1-1 ATS across their last seven with the lone loss coming to the Cowboys. As many others have, I maintain that Minnesota is a fraudulent 10-2 team. However, sharp action has swung this line and made it an underdog. Detroit is playing its best ball in years, and its offense is rolling, but it has accomplished much of that against weaker teams. The Vikings offense put up 60 combined points against the Jets and Patriots defenses the last two weeks, and now it gets a unit that – over the season – is giving up an NFL-worst 402.2 yards and 27.0 points per game. I was on both Minnesota losses this season but don’t see it happening again in this spot. I’d have loved the field goal, but Minny should win outright, so this is a decent-enough cushion.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 5:26 pm UTC
    Money LineDetroit -140
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +370
    33-17 in Last 50 NFL ML Picks
    +204
    40-28 in Last 68 NFL Picks
    +489.5
    17-9-1 in Last 27 DET Picks
    +67
    2-1 on NFL Props Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    Minnesota is again without its best offensive lineman in Christian Darrisaw and six-time Pro Bowl safety Harrison Smith is also out in a minor surprise. That Detroit offense is shockingly unstoppable all of a sudden. The Vikings might be the biggest frauds in the NFL with all those one-score wins. That has to catch up to them eventually. Minnesota should have lost to the Lions earlier this season.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 3:38 pm UTC
    Point SpreadDetroit -2.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +310
    22-17-1 in Last 40 NFL Picks
    +310
    22-17-1 in Last 40 NFL ATS Picks
    +655
    11-4 in Last 15 DET Picks
    +485
    7-2 in Last 9 DET ATS Picks
    Brett's Analysis:

    Laying points with a sub-.500 team against one that's 10-2? It doesn’t sound wise, but there’s a good reason this line is where it is. Over the last seven weeks, the Lions rank seventh in overall DVOA. They’re only 5-7, but they’ve played the toughest schedule in the NFL so far by a mile. All seven of Detroit’s losses were against teams currently above .500, as were two of their wins. The Vikings have the lowest DVOA (21st) for a 10-2 team in NFL history, per Football Outsiders. The Vikings trailed by 10 points after three quarters the first time these teams played, and I think it'll happen again, but without the comeback. Lay the points.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 3:46 am UTC
    Money LineDetroit -125
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +468
    21-14 in Last 35 NFL Picks
    +600
    6-0 in Last 6 DET ML Picks
    +549
    20-13-1 in Last 34 DET Picks
    +493
    12-6 on NFL Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    A standing-room-only crowd will be at Ford Field for this important game, and I like the Lions to avenge their heartbreaking loss in Minnesota. In that Week 3 matchup, the Lions scored 24 points, failed to convert two 4th-and-1 plays and missed two field goals. All of Jared Goff's key weapons are healthy. Detroit's defense also is playing much better since Dan Campbell fired secondary coach Aubrey Pleasant due to defensive backs free-lancing in coverage. In the five games since, the Lions have seven interceptions. Take Detroit on the money-line.

    Pick Made: Dec 11, 3:40 am UTC
    Point SpreadMinnesota +2.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1320
    90-69-6 in Last 165 NFL ATS Picks
    +2223
    57-31-4 in Last 92 MIN Picks
    +2197
    49-24-4 in Last 77 MIN ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Lions' 40-14 win at home over the Jaguars officially signals them as an above average team. At least, that's what the market is telling us, after this line swung from MIN -2.5 on the lookahead to DET -2.5 as of Tuesday. The Vikings won and covered but the stats behind the scoreboard were again unimpressive, though going from facing the Jets defense to the Lions is a dramatic shift in matchup strength, even with the Detroit D coming off its best game of the year. The Vikings' two losses have come against two of the best defenses in the league, and I think they can win here. I don't expect this to get to 3 so I'm locking in now, but I understand those who decide to wait.

    Pick Made: Dec 06, 4:52 pm UTC

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    Team Injuries

    Minnesota Vikings
    Friday, Sep 29, 2023
    Avatar
    QB
    Jaren Hall
    PersonalQuestionable
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    SAF
    Lewis Cine
    HamstringOut
    Monday, Sep 25, 2023
    Avatar
    C
    Garrett Bradbury
    BackQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Marcus Davenport
    AnkleQuestionable
    Detroit Lions
    Friday, Sep 29, 2023
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    CB
    Brian Branch
    AnkleQuestionable
    Thursday, Sep 28, 2023
    Avatar
    OG
    Halapoulivaati Vaitai
    KneeInactive
    Avatar
    DB
    Emmanuel Moseley
    Knee - ACLInactive
    Avatar
    FB
    Jason Cabinda
    KneeInactive
    Avatar
    CB
    Chase Lucas
    IllnessQuestionable
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    LB
    Derrick Barnes
    Lower BodyQuestionable
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    FS
    Kerby Joseph
    HipInactive
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    DT
    Brodric Martin
    Coach's DecisionInactive
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    RB
    Zonovan Knight
    Coach's DecisionInactive

    Season Splits

    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    54%
    6-5-1
    8-4
    67%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    50%
    2-2-1
    5-2
    71%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    33%
    1-2
    1-1
    50%
    When Spread was +1 to +3.5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -3.5 to -1
    0%
    0-2
    1-1
    50%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    50%
    1-1
    1-1
    50%
    vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    33%
    1-2-1
    3-2
    60%
    vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
    50%
    2-2
    4-3
    57%
    After <=8 Days Off
    REST
    After <=8 Days Off
    38%
    3-5-1
    6-3
    67%
    vs DET
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs MIN
    0%
    0-1
    1-0
    100%