Simulation Picks
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
The Eagles are a far better team at home than on the road with a 5-1 ATS mark and five of those straight-up wins coming by a touchdown or more. This line is down from a touchdown earlier this week, and while I wanted Philadelphia -4, it never came. Tennessee is a tough team that thrives as an underdog, but as we saw last week, they have problems moving the ball offensively unless Derrick Henry can run all over a team. Jordan Davis is being activated off IR, which should give the Eagles a big man in the middle to stifle those interior runs. This is worth a half unit, but should it hit -4 before kickoff, go full.
The Eagles are 5-1 ATS at home and are coming off two straight wins, but I'll take Mike Vrabel's Titans above the secondary key. number of 4. Vrabel is 16-6 ATS when getting more than a field goal, with 14 outright wins. Tennessee owns the NFL's best rush defense and that could be a shock to the Eagles' system after Philly gashed Green Bay for 363 yards on the ground last week. With the Eagles losing key safety Chauncey Gardner-Johnson on top of corner Avonte Maddox, Ryan Tannehill should find open throwing lanes to complement Derrick Henry. Take the points.
The Eagles just ran all over the Packers, but the Titans rank third in yards per play, so Philly needs to throw to win. They've been efficient in the pass game this year but have topped 220 pass yards just once since Week 2, so the volume hasn't been there. The bigger concern is on the defensive side of the ball, where the Eagles have allowed 32 and 33 points in their last two home games. That bodes well for a Titans offense with Ryan Tannehill playing well despite an ankle injury suffered about a month ago. The Titans under Mike Vrabel are 16-6 ATS as an underdog of more than three points, and they've lost by more than five points just once all year, so this is the perfect spot to back Tennessee.
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