Eagles are the pick in this spot. Coming off extra rest against an opponent that cannot match up from a talent perspective on either end of the field, it should be a big night for Philadelphia against a Washington team it already previously dominated this season and held scoreless for more than 58 minutes. Though the Commanders may be able to slow down the run for a bit, Jalen Hurts and Miles Sanders will wear on them in the second half, pulling away for a two-touchdown victory.

Let’s borrow a totals stat to explain this ATS selection. Unders are 29-13-1 in division games this year, according to ESPN. The Commanders have landed Under six of their seven most recent outings, including four in a row versus above-.500 foes. This suggests a low score is in the cards, which magnifies the 11-point spread. Washington is quietly on the upswing, winning three of the past five outright, with defeats by four and three points. The visitors have progressed since falling to Philly 24-8 in late September.

The undefeated Eagles had extra rest after their non-cover in Houston to prepare for Washington. It's a team Philly led 24-0 in Week 3 before coasting to a 24-8 win. The Commanders have been competitive with Taylor Heinicke, but their three-game win streak came against the Bears, Packers and Colts -- combined record of 9-17-1 entering Week 10. Washington averages 4.9 yards per play, which ranks 28th, and has scored 19 points per game in Heinicke's 18 starts the past two seasons. One Commanders' TD versus Minnesota came via a Hail Mary, aided by a ref taking out a Vikings safety. Washington didn't have to deal with Robert Quinn in the first meeting. The Eagles are healthy and, backed by a raucous crowd, should make life miserable for the Commanders' struggling offense. Lay the points as Philly moves to 5-0 ATS at home.