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Sun 10/23 | 5:00 PM UTC | Cincinnati
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Falcons 6-10, 8-8 ATS
ATL +6.5-110
ATL +235
Over 47.5-110
Cincinnati Bengals 14-5, 13-6 ATS
CIN -6.5-110
CIN -292
Under 47.5-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Atlanta 17 @ Cincinnati 35 | 10/23 | 5:00 PM UTC

Cincinnati -6.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Just as I’m beginning to buy into the Falcons – and they deserve it, by the way, for vastly exceeding expectations to start the season – they end up in a tough matchup against a Bengals team that excels exactly where Sunday’s visitors do not: the passing game. Cincinnati should have its full complement of wide receivers back just in time for the league’s 31st ranked pass defense. Meanwhile, key weapon Cordarrelle Patterson was just placed on IR for the Falcons, and Marcus Mariota seems allergic to targeting Kyle Pitts, who has just 13 receptions in five games. This would be a bit more comfortable at Bengals -6, but I expect Cincinnati to continue thriving at home (5-1 ATS in its last six) and end Atlanta’s incredible ATS streak to start the season.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+700 17-9-1 IN LAST 27 NFL PICKS
+478 18-12 IN LAST 30 ATL ATS PICKS
+600 6-0-1 IN LAST 7 CIN ATS PICKS

Season Splits

6-10, 8-8 ATS
14-5, 13-6 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
100%
6-0
4-2
67%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
100%
3-0
1-1
50%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
100%
6-0
3-2
60%
When Spread was +5 to +8
SPREAD
When Spread was -8 to -5
100%
1-0
1-2
33%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
100%
3-0
1-1
50%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
100%
2-0
3-0
100%
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
100%
2-0
2-0
100%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
100%
5-0
3-1
75%
vs CIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
0%
0-0
0-0
0%