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Sun 10/09 | 5:00 PM UTC | Minneapolis
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Chicago Bears 3-8, 4-6 ATS
CHI +8.5-110
CHI +275
Over 44-110
Minnesota Vikings 8-2, 4-5 ATS
MIN -8.5-110
MIN -350
Under 44-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Chicago 22 @ Minnesota 29 | 10/09 | 5:00 PM UTC

Chicago +7.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: It's not easy backing a team that seems allergic to the forward pass, but I don't think the Vikings should be laying over a touchdown. Minnesota is susceptible to explosive running plays (9th-most allowed) and the Bears can generate those with Khalil Herbert, David Montgomery and Justin Fields. While Chicago only has seven sacks, the Bears rank fourth in pressure rate at nearly 30 percent. Kirk Cousins is notorious for struggling under pressure. In fact, Cousins' Vikings have failed to cover the last four times they've laid 7 or more points. Take the Bears +7.5 at even money.

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Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
+565 9-3-2 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS
+469 15-9-1 IN LAST 25 CHI ATS PICKS
+1555 31-14-2 IN LAST 47 MIN ATS PICKS

Season Splits

3-8, 4-6 ATS
8-2, 4-5 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
33%
1-2-1
1-3
25%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
0%
0-2
1-1
50%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
33%
1-2
1-2
33%
When Spread was +6 to +9
SPREAD
When Spread was -9 to -6
100%
1-0
0-1
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
0%
0-2
1-1
50%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
0%
0-0
0-1
0%
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
0%
0-2
1-1
50%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
0%
0-2-1
0-3
0%
vs MIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CHI
0%
0-0
0-0
0%