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Sun 10/09 | 5:00 PM UTC | Tampa
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Falcons 5-6, 7-4 ATS
ATL +10-110
ATL +400
Over 46-110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5-5, 3-6 ATS
TB -10-110
TB -550
Under 46-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Atlanta 15 @ Tampa Bay 21 | 10/09 | 5:00 PM UTC

Atlanta +10

WIN

ANALYSIS: It's odd to see a favorite yield a double-digit spread to an underdog whose four games this season have ended with these margins: one, four, four and three. Odd, too, that the Falcons with this generous spot are alone with a 4-0 ATS record this season. Much has been made of QB Tom Brady generating at least 30 points in four meetings with the Falcons, but the current offense is his least scary as a Buc. Atlanta can survive the absence of injured RB Cordarrelle Patterson. Its ground game, bolstered by depth, ranks fourth in the league.

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Mike Tierney

Top Dog
+890 30-19-3 IN LAST 52 NFL PICKS
+185 3-1-1 IN LAST 5 ATL ATS PICKS
+320 10-6-3 IN LAST 19 TB ATS PICKS

Season Splits

5-6, 7-4 ATS
5-5, 3-6 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
100%
4-0
2-2
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
100%
2-0
0-2
0%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
100%
4-0
2-2
50%
When Spread was +8.5 to +11.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -11.5 to -8.5
100%
1-0
0-0
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
100%
2-0
0-2
0%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
100%
1-0
0-0
0%
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
100%
1-0
0-0
0%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
100%
3-0
1-2
33%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
0%
0-0
0-0
0%