Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Julio Jones, Donovan Smith and Russell Gage are all active for a Bucs team that has badly needed an infusion of offensive talent after scoring just 17 points per game across the first three weeks. The Chiefs, meanwhile, have struggled to put things together in consecutive weeks against the Chargers and Colts -- and now they face one of the most ferocious defenses in the league. It's rare that you'll see me pick against Patrick Mahomes in this space, but Tom Brady is 7-2 ATS after a loss since joining Tampa Bay. Not for nothing, the is also likely some local sentiment for a big home win with the area just days removed from Hurricane Ian.

There's nothing wrong with the Bucs' defense, which allows an NFL-low 0.75 points per drive. Tampa Bay should limit a Chiefs' attack that hasn't looked as dynamic since the opener in Arizona. The Bucs' offense gets a huge boost this week with Mike Evans' return from suspension. Plus, Julio Jones and Russell Gage are practicing on a limited basis. Chris Godwin's status is up in the air as I write this. Early in the week when I filled out my Office Pool picks, I leaned KC due to Tampa's injury situation. But with left tackle Donovan Smith (elbow) also practicing this week and potentially returning after missing two straight games, and with Tom Brady coming off a loss, I'll back the Bucs at home in a close one.