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Fri 09/23 | 12:15 AM UTC | Cleveland
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Pittsburgh Steelers 1-2, 1-1 ATS
PIT +4.5-110
PIT +178
Over 38-105
Cleveland Browns 2-1, 2-1 ATS
CLE -4.5-110
CLE -215
Under 38-115

Expert Picks

NFL | Pittsburgh 17 @ Cleveland 29 | 09/23 | 12:15 AM UTC

Cleveland -206

WIN

ANALYSIS: I just don't like the spread at all and even though recent history of totals at 38.5 points or lower point towards an Under, I can't do that, either. So just to have an opinion and care about tonight a little: Browns moneyline it is. Needless to say as a Bears fan, I have major animus toward Mitch Trubisky, and I fully expect Myles Garrett to cause at least one strip-sack fumble against a bad Steelers offensive line (Mitch will surely get the blame, though). Pittsburgh is also 0-5 all-time without TJ Watt. The season debut of Pro Bowl right tackle Jack Conklin for the Browns should only help the dynamic duo of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. The Steelers haven't been good against the run so far. Oh and hey Nick? Perhaps fall down before the end zone next time! Didn't they teach you that at Georgia? Oh yeah, you probably only took Basket Weaving 101. Wow was that a bad beat vs. the Jets. Thus, the Browns owe me.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+340 7-3-1 IN LAST 11 NFL PICKS

Season Splits

1-2, 1-1 ATS
2-1, 2-1 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
100%
1-0-1
1-1
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
100%
1-0
0-1
0%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
100%
1-0-1
0-1
0%
When Spread was +3 to +6
SPREAD
When Spread was -6 to -3
0%
0-0-1
0-0
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
100%
1-0
0-1
0%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
0%
0-0-1
0-0
0%
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
100%
1-0
1-0
100%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
0%
0-0-1
0-1
0%
vs CLE
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PIT
0%
0-0
0-0
0%