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    Sun, Jan 161:15 am UTCHighmark Stadium
    17 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    New England
    Patriots
    NE
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L10-8
    ATS10-8
    O/U10-8-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Buffalo
    Bills
    BUF
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L12-7
    ATS10-7
    O/U10-9-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    10-8
    Win /Loss
    12-7
    10-8
    Spread
    10-7
    10-8-0
    Over / Under
    10-9-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    OG
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    OLB
    Avatar
    SAF
    Avatar
    WR
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    NE @ BUF
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    MONEYLINE
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    OVER / UNDER
    NE @ BUF
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    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadBuffalo -4.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1049
    61-46 in Last 107 NFL ATS Picks
    +1097
    22-10-1 in Last 33 NE ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    This line has been inflated a bit (-4 is preferred), but since it has not hit the key number of six, I’m not overly bothered. Forget the storyline of Bill Belichick in a playoff game as an underdog. Instead, concentrate on Mac Jones in a road playoff game as a rookie who has five INTs to three TDs against teams not named the Jaguars since Dec. 18. The Bills have a QB advantage here with Josh Allen, even if he plays worse in cold weather. Buffalo is the hotter and more confident team. As long as it can manage to slow down the run and force Jones to try and make plays, it should be able to get past New England by a touchdown.

    Pick Made: Jan 16, 12:27 am UTC
    Point SpreadBuffalo -4.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1244
    18-5 in Last 23 NE ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    New England rookie QB Mac Jones will have to brave the elements once again in Buffalo, as the temperature will be in the single digits with the wind chill at -10. I would expect Bill Belichick to put Jones on a pitch count again and try to lean on his run game. The Bills know that to be the case and will be ready once again to take that away from the Pats.

    Pick Made: Jan 15, 1:59 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUNDER 44 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +370
    7-3 in Last 10 NFL O/U Picks
    +380
    6-2 in Last 8 BUF O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    The NFL stuck these teams in a night slot with temperatures expected in single digits and wind speeds in double digits. When last these teams met in harsh circumstances, Patriots rookie QB Mac Jones threw all of four passes in a 14-10 game. Though Bills counterpart Josh Allen is a veteran of cold-weather games, his stats are below those accumulated in more comfy conditions. Weather aside, when rivals face off for the third time in seven weeks, the edge goes to the defenses.

    Pick Made: Jan 14, 1:29 am UTC
    Point SpreadNew England +4 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1158
    29-16-1 in Last 46 NFL Picks
    +970
    22-11 in Last 33 NFL ATS Picks
    Tom's Analysis:

    There's just something about getting to bet on a Bill Belichick team as an underdog in a playoff game that's difficult to pass up. Particularly when it's against a team he's already faced twice during the regular season. New England will do everything it can to limit big plays on offense from Buffalo, which should keep them within striking distance.

    Pick Made: Jan 13, 7:41 pm UTC
    Point SpreadBuffalo -4 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +705
    17-9 in Last 26 NFL Picks
    Hank's Analysis:

    I really don't like how the Patriots ended the season, losing three of their last four games, including a 33-24 loss at Miami last week. Their only win over that time came against Jacksonville, the worst team in the league. The Bills also beat New England, 33-21, just three weeks ago. I think that matchup between the teams is a better gauge than the first matchup, which the Patriots won but was played in crazy windy conditions. Buffalo has ended the season on a roll, winning four straight games by an average of 15.0 points. I'm on the Bills.

    Pick Made: Jan 12, 3:49 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUNDER 43.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +579
    19-9 in Last 28 NFL Picks
    +520
    14-8 in Last 22 NFL O/U Picks
    +59
    2-1 in Last 3 NE O/U Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    When these teams met in Buffalo in Week 13, wintry weather was a MAJOR factor. It's not going to be quite that bad on Saturday but it's going to be brutally cold with some wind and maybe a bit of snow, so I'm taking the Under now. Much like my pick on Raiders-Bengals, I expect this number to drop over the week.

    Pick Made: Jan 10, 8:04 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    New England Patriots
    Thursday, May 30, 2024
    Avatar
    OG
    Cole Strange
    KneeQuestionable
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Kendrick Bourne
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Buffalo Bills
    Tuesday, Jun 18, 2024
    Avatar
    OLB
    Matt Milano
    LegQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Mike Edwards
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Khalil Shakir
    Lower BodyQuestionable