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Sun 12/05 | 6:00 PM UTC | Atlanta
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9-3, 6-6 ATS
TB -10.5
TB -550
Over 50.5
Atlanta Falcons 5-7, 5-7 ATS
ATL +10.5
ATL +400
Under 50.5

Expert Picks

Tampa Bay 30 @ Atlanta 17 | 12/05 | 6:00 PM UTC

Tampa Bay -10.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: I don't try to make a habit of taking double-digit favorites in the NFL, but this line is short. Tampa crushed Atlanta earlier this season, and while the Falcons are a respectable 5-6, their wins haven't been very impressive. Meanwhile, Tampa has been strong offensively in the last few weeks, and finds itself in a spot where it can't afford to give away games if it wants to earn that first-round bye. Look for the Bucs to take care of business early.

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Tom Fornelli

#TrustTheProcess
+990 25-14-1 IN LAST 40 NFL PICKS
+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 ATL ATS PICKS
+200 2-0-1 IN LAST 3 TB ATS PICKS

Season Splits

9-3, 6-6 ATS
5-7, 5-7 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
46%
5-6
5-6
46%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
17%
1-5
1-4
20%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
46%
5-6
2-4
33%
When Spread was -12 to -9
SPREAD
When Spread was +9 to +12
60%
3-2
0-0
0%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
17%
1-5
0-2
0%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
67%
2-1
1-3
25%
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
67%
2-1
1-1
50%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
43%
3-4
3-5
38%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TB
100%
1-0
0-1
0%