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Sun 11/28 | 6:00 PM UTC | Jacksonville
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Falcons 4-6, 4-6 ATS
ATL -1.5
ATL -130
Over 46
Jacksonville Jaguars 2-8, 4-6 ATS
JAC +1.5
JAC +110
Under 46

Expert Picks

Atlanta 21 @ Jacksonville 14 | 11/28 | 6:00 PM UTC

Atlanta PK

WIN

ANALYSIS: No team has looked worse than the Falcons the last two weeks, as Atlanta has been outscored 68-3 during that stretch. But that came against two of the best teams in the league, and the Falcons have looked like a solid team at times this year, particularly against other bad teams. And that's definitely what Jacksonville is. The Jaguars' run defense had been improving before getting gashed by the 49ers, but Atlanta doesn't run the ball anyway. I like taking Matt Ryan in a matchup versus the struggling Trevor Lawrence and not even having to lay points to do it, and Jacksonville is one of the few defenses where I'm not sure they can slow down Atlanta's offensive attack. Falcons are the better team here.

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R.J. White

Super Stat Geek
+807 18-9 IN LAST 27 JAC ATS PICKS
+700 37-27 IN LAST 64 ATL ATS PICKS

Season Splits

4-6, 4-6 ATS
2-8, 4-6 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
40%
4-6
4-6
40%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
3-2
1-4
20%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
50%
2-2
4-5
44%
When Spread was -3.5 to -1
SPREAD
When Spread was +1 to +3.5
50%
2-2
1-0
100%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
100%
1-0
1-4
20%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
75%
3-1
1-2
33%
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
50%
2-2
1-1
50%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
50%
1-1
4-3
57%
vs JAC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
0%
0-0
0-0
0%