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Sun 11/28 | 6:00 PM UTC | Jacksonville
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Falcons 4-6, 4-6 ATS
ATL -1.5
ATL -130
Over 46
Jacksonville Jaguars 2-8, 4-6 ATS
JAC +1.5
JAC +110
Under 46

Expert Picks

Atlanta 21 @ Jacksonville 14 | 11/28 | 6:00 PM UTC

Atlanta -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: One of my cardinal rules is not to wager on bad football teams, but when comparing the Falcons and Jaguars, there's bad and then there's worse. Atlanta is in a value spot here coming off two terrible offensive performances, but it's getting Cordarrelle Patterson back, which should open up things in both the running and passing game. The Falcons being bludgeoned by two great teams doesn't bother me given the competition level is different, and Atlanta will surely be primed for a bounce-back. Plus, Jacksonville hardly has home field advantage here, let alone when a nearby team plays. There's simply more talent and experience on the other side of the field.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+1374 61-43 IN LAST 104 NFL PICKS
+293 15-11 IN LAST 26 ATL ATS PICKS
+285 4-1 IN LAST 5 JAC ATS PICKS

Season Splits

4-6, 4-6 ATS
2-8, 4-6 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
40%
4-6
4-6
40%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
3-2
1-4
20%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
50%
2-2
4-5
44%
When Spread was -3.5 to -1
SPREAD
When Spread was +1 to +3.5
50%
2-2
1-0
100%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
100%
1-0
1-4
20%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
75%
3-1
1-2
33%
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
50%
2-2
1-1
50%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
50%
1-1
4-3
57%
vs JAC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
0%
0-0
0-0
0%