Simulation Picks
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Expert Picks
The Chargers seem to be finding its groove, well maybe just consistency, as they have played two straight with a final score of 27-24. Los Angeles is 9-3 ATS over its last 12 and finally don't have to travel across the country either. Minnesota enters without Danielle Hunter, Michael Pierce, Anthony Barr, Patrick Peterson and Harrison Smith...that's only 49% of their entire defensive salary cap. Couple that with the Vikings are 0-5 SU this season vs. teams with winning records.
This line was -3.5 earlier in the week, so this is a good time to pick up this number. The Vikings have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, allowing 383.6 yards per game; just four teams give up more. That bodes well for Chargers QB Justin Herbert, who is coming off one of the best games of his career.
The Vikings seem to always play up or down to the competition, going 1-3 ATS as favorites and 3-1 as underdogs. Now they head west after their third OT game of the year to face a Chargers team that just got done shredding the Eagles with Justin Herbert. But the Chargers D worries me; they have cluster injuries at cornerback that'll make the Vikings' dangerous WR duo tough to stop, while Joey Bosa is also questionable after a DNP Friday. Minnesota should be able to slice through a poor rush D and also win through the air, which means their D, which will be missing a pair of key players on its own, only needs to slow down Herbert a bit to win this one.
This will be the first west coast game for Minnesota this season. QB Kirk Cousins is 1-5 SU when playing out west with the Vikings, who were involved in a physical overtime game against Baltimore last week in which their defense was on the field for 89 plays and 46:04 of time. The Chargers own a plus-0.3 yard differential, while Minnesota is minus-0.1 this season. Justin Herbert's QBR is 64.1 while Cousins' is 55.3. Los Angeles' offensive line is ranked 17th, while the Vikings are. 28th at Football Outsiders. NFL teams are 2-4 both SU and ATS after playing the Ravens without rest this season. Minnesota could be missing six starters on defense. Take the Chargers.