John Harbaugh is 9-0 ATS vs. the Dolphins and Lamar Jackson is a monster in short rest games, I know this, but this spread has risen to the point where I have to take the Fins. The SportsLine Projection Model has Baltimore winning by 8. I still believe being at home in a short week means something, especially following a home game the previous Sunday. The Ravens, meanwhile, had to play nearly five quarters Sunday. Perhaps Baltimore also is looking ahead to Week 11 and facing my mighty Bears. (yeah, kidding)

The Dolphins are coming off a win where they turned the ball over four times but played great defense for maybe the first time all year. The Ravens offense has been excellent running the ball as usual, ranking third in yards per rush despite attempting the most runs in the league. But Lamar Jackson has also stepped up as a passer, and with the Dolphins posting a negative-1.1 yards per play number entering this matchup, which is what they had in a 2019 season that started with a 59-10 pasting at the hands of Baltimore, I think Ravens score plenty. Throw in a blitz-heavy siege of Miami's O-line against a QB who holds the ball too long in Jacoby Brissett, and I think Baltimore rolls.

Whomever plays at QB for the Dolphins between Tua Tagovailoa and Jacoby Brissett will definitely have his hands full with the Ravens' defensive pressure. And while the Baltimore secondary isn't playing its best ball this season, that front seven can still affect the pocket of opposing QBs. Offensively speaking for the Ravens, we know that a strong run game travels rather well and that's what they have with Lamar Jackson, no matter the day of the week.

The Ravens’ training room surely was busy Monday. Baltimore played a few ticks shy of five quarters on Sunday, and the quick turnaround that involves travel bodes ill for a tired team in its first road game since Oct. 3. QB Lamar Jackson was on the field for 46 minutes, throwing 41 times and rushing 21 more. Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa (finger), a late injury scratch on Sunday, is doubtful, leaving Jacoby Brissett to oversee an offense that committed five turnovers. He should be better prepared this time. Miami’s formidable rushing defense matches up well with run-minded Baltimore.