Even with a full overtime last Sunday for padding stats, the Jets rank 29th in offense and last in points scored, averaging 11.8. The Falcons’ offense stands 24th in yardage and 25th in scoring. Their main WR, at least until the most recent game, is Calvin Ridley, who stayed home from the trip overseas for personal reasons. QB Matt Ryan’s average pass distance is the shortest among his peers. Atlanta’s defense is better than you think. The team’s points allowance is inflated by a pair of pick-sixes and a kickoff runback TD.

London game. I was probably going to pass on this but think there's value on the Jets getting 3 now that the Falcons have ruled out No. 1 receiver Calvin Ridley due to personal reasons -- No. 2 wideout Russell Gage also is out due to injury. Pretty slim pickings for Matt Ryan against a Jets defense that is pretty solid against the pass, and it's not like Atlanta can run the ball. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their past six as favorites.

It's tough to back a bad team coming off its first win of the season, as that flash of success could cause them to be getting too much respect in the market. Well, that's definitely not happening here, as the hapless Falcons are three-point favorites on a neutral field, which I could only justify if they were facing the backup-QB-led Texans. Atlanta has allowed 11 pass TDs with no interceptions against not the strongest slate of QBs, while the Jets WR group is getting healthier and the defense is better than you think. Which coaching staff do you trust more to handle the complexity of a cross-Atlantic road trip? Based on what we've seen, I'll take Robert Saleh and company.