The Chargers have been overrated a bit recently by oddsmakers in their home games, but this line is right on as they should be a 4-point favorite despite the fact that there will be plenty of Raiders fans -- perhaps even the majority -- in attendance. Los Angeles' defense is being underrated early this season, and it's going to have some surprises for Las Vegas if the Raiders think they are just going to pile up points. They might get their share on the ground, but it's going to be tough to combat Justin Herbert's passing with more methodical runs. Remember: The Raiders have not been tested by a top-tier passer yet this season. Also, Los Angeles does struggle in the red zone, but Vegas is one of the weakest defensive teams inside the 20. Give me the Chargers before the hook gets added in what should be a close game.

I'm not betting a game right on three points and since can't do alternate lines here (I'll be taking Chargers -2.5 elsewhere) let's hit the moneyline to avoid a push as I could easily see this ending something like 34-31. While the Raiders' Week 1 win over Baltimore was quality, their past two over Pittsburgh and Miami look weak now. The Bolts are 6-1 ATS in their past seven, and while I'm not taking the spread obviously if they cover that's a ML win.

The Raiders will use the run to set up the pass tonight against Los Angeles. The Chargers will use the short passing game and swings to set up the (longer) pass tonight against Las Vegas. Los Angeles gives up nearly six yards per rush and nearly seven yards per pass...and Las Vegas' defense isn't much better with with 4.8 yards per rush and 5.9 per pass. Both QB's will have no personal problem taking advantage of that. Long story short, either team could win and/or cover tonight, but they're both going to be near or in the 30's to do it. Take the Over and enjoy the game.

Look for the Raiders, who are one of the NFL's two remaining undefeated teams, to fall. They’ve been fortunate to get to 3-0, posting overtime victories over Baltimore and Miami. A meeting with the AFC West-rival Chargers on the road should expose their flaws and make it three teams in the division with 3-1 records. Grab Los Angeles.

Watching what the Cowboys and Chiefs did yesterday, scoring 80 points and looking like two of the three best offenses in football along with Buffalo, gives you a better perspective on the Chargers. They frustrated Dallas and Kansas City the past two weeks and held Washington to 16 points in Week 1. Now they get their shot at the NFL's No. 1 offense in yardage in Las Vegas. With Derwin James healthy and innovative new coach Brandon Staley daring teams to run the ball, the Chargers are headed upward. Lay the points.

The strength of the surprisingly good Las Vegas defense is on the line, but they've gotten to feast on some pretty bad units over the last few weeks and now have to face up against another much improved unit in the Chargers O-line. I don't think they'll be able to slow down the Chargers passing offense much, if at all, but I don't think that applies on the other side of the ball, as L.A. managed to hold the Cowboys and Chiefs to 251 passing yards or less in back-to-back weeks. Teams have been able to run on the Chargers, but will the Raiders commit to that for 60 minutes? I'm not sure they will, and if forced to pass, I like the Chargers' chances.

The undefeated Raiders come to Los Angeles with the No. 1-ranked offense (471 ypg) featuring the No. 1 passing game (379 ypg). RB Josh Jacobs should be back to take advantage of the worst defense against the run (170 ypg allowed). The Raiders won at SoFi Stadium last season, 31-26, and they will always have their share of fans at this venue. It will basically be a Raiders home game. Take the value with the underdog.