The Texans proved last week they can score, although it was the Jaguars. The Browns defense looked just as porous as it did last season, and honestly I just can’t see an NFL line being this high. There is obviously a very real possibility the Browns blow out the Texans, but 13 points is a ton in an NFL game and Tyrod Taylor has been a covering machine when he starts, so I am gonna take the Texans with the points.

Judging from this healthy spread, the public considers Houston’s convincing win over Jacksonville a fluke. Well, which QB has covered in his last six starts? Answer: The Texans’ Tyrod Taylor. Conversely, which QB has covered in four of his past dozen? Answer: Cleveland’s Baker Mayfield. The Browns may be poised for a Super Bowl run but have no business yielding nearly two touchdowns worth of points. Houston’s 37 points against the Jaguars were legit, with 449 yards piled up.

The Browns will be without Odell Beckham in this one, but more importantly, they're dealing with a bunch of injuries to the offensive line, with left tackle Jedrick Wills questionable and his direct backup out, as well as center JC Tretter questionable. In a game where they're big favorites, I expect them to keep the ball on the ground as much as possible and not risk Baker Mayfield taking shots behind a downgraded O-line. On the other side, I don't see Houston scoring a ton of points against a Browns defense that played well against one of the NFL's elite offenses last week. Expect this one to be a lower-scoring game that stays Under.