ANALYSIS: This line is right on the money at -3, which means there's no value in either direction unless you believe the Bills to be a superior team to the Chiefs, which I do not. When Patrick Mahomes is cleared, which I have little doubt will be the case, the Chiefs will be at -3.5 or -4, which is a difficult call given this matchup. However, at a field goal, I lean with Andy Reid and a Chiefs team that, admittedly, has burned me all year ATS. However, Kansas City is 3-1 ATS as a favorite of six points or less in 2020, and it deserves some credit as the home team and defending Super Bowl champions. This is more of a gut play than anything, but at a FG or less, I'm on the Chiefs.