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Expert Picks

Buffalo 24 @ Kansas City 38 | 01/24 | 11:40 PM UTC

Kansas City -3

WIN

ANALYSIS: This line is right on the money at -3, which means there's no value in either direction unless you believe the Bills to be a superior team to the Chiefs, which I do not. When Patrick Mahomes is cleared, which I have little doubt will be the case, the Chiefs will be at -3.5 or -4, which is a difficult call given this matchup. However, at a field goal, I lean with Andy Reid and a Chiefs team that, admittedly, has burned me all year ATS. However, Kansas City is 3-1 ATS as a favorite of six points or less in 2020, and it deserves some credit as the home team and defending Super Bowl champions. This is more of a gut play than anything, but at a FG or less, I'm on the Chiefs.

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Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
+652 21-13-2 IN LAST 36 KC ATS PICKS
+126 9-7 IN LAST 16 BUF ATS PICKS