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    Sun, Jan 178:05 pm UTCGEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
    39 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Cleveland
    Browns
    CLE
    Last 2 ATS
    W/L1-1
    ATS2-0
    O/U1-1-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Kansas City
    Chiefs
    KC
    Last 3 ATS
    W/L2-1
    ATS1-2
    O/U1-2-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 3 ATS
    1-1
    Win /Loss
    2-1
    2-0
    Spread
    1-2
    1-1-0
    Over / Under
    1-2-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    CB
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    CB
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    OT
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    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    CLE @ KC
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    MONEYLINE
    CLE @ KC
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    OVER / UNDER
    CLE @ KC
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    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
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    PUBLIC
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    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadKansas City -8 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +185
    4-2-1 in Last 7 CLE ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    The absence of Clyde Edwards-Helaire is not enough for me to back off the Chiefs now that the line has dropped two points ahead of kickoff. I did think Kansas City was overvalued as a double-digit favorite, but it is going to be able to move the ball just fine. Lots of money has been made over the years trusting Andy Reid off bye weeks, and I like KC to put it all together in crunch time as Cleveland comes down off its high from last week. The Chiefs have been one of the most frustrating teams to bet on ATS this season, but I like Travis Kelcie to have a tremendous outing and be the difference maker in the game.

    Pick Made: Jan 17, 7:45 pm UTC
    Point SpreadKansas City -8 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +35
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
    +100
    7-5 in Last 12 KC ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    I was on the fence with this spread at -10 but heavy action on the Browns has dropped it to -8. Now I think it's solid value on Kansas City. Yes, the Chiefs are just 1-7 ATS in their past eight games but I think some of that can be chalked up to boredom. Andy Reid is also money coming off a bye in his career, going 14-7-1 ATS in the regular season and 2-0 ATS in the playoffs since Patrick Mahomes took over as starter.

    Pick Made: Jan 17, 7:08 pm UTC
    Point SpreadCleveland +10 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +180
    5-3 in Last 8 NFL ATS Picks
    +643
    27-19-1 in Last 47 KC ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    A good run game and an opportunistic defense can win you games in the NFL. While the Browns may not get the win, that formula they have with Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt and defensive end Myles Garrett should be enough to help them keep this a one-possession game.

    Pick Made: Jan 16, 8:30 pm UTC
    Point SpreadCleveland +10 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1495
    82-60-5 in Last 147 NFL Picks
    +1160
    60-43-5 in Last 108 NFL ATS Picks
    +1112
    38-26-4 in Last 68 CLE ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Chiefs are virtually everyone's pick for the best team in football, but they haven't really lived up to that status in the second half, failing to win by seven points or more in every game since Week 8, a string almost fully consisting of ATS losses. Their defense is vulnerable to good rushing offenses, and with Baker Mayfield only throwing one pick since Week 7, the Browns should be able to hang around in a high-scoring game. And when they take it to the red zone, where they're third in success rate, they should come away with TDs against the worst red-zone defense in the league. This line feels three points too high.

    Pick Made: Jan 15, 10:50 pm UTC
    Point SpreadCleveland +10 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +490
    25-18-4 in Last 47 NFL Picks
    Hank's Analysis:

    I don't like the way Patrick Mahomes has been playing. Over his last three games he has completed just 59.2 percent of his passes, thrown seven touchdowns and four interceptions and has a passer rating of 87.6. That's not him. A bigger problem for the Chiefs is that they may never see the ball. Kansas City's defense gave up 4.5 yards per carry during the season and will struggle to stop Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. After seeing what the Browns did last week without their coach and play caller, I wonder what they can do with him on Sunday. I'm taking the Browns.

    Pick Made: Jan 13, 3:32 pm UTC
    Point SpreadCleveland +10 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +725
    22-13-2 in Last 37 NFL ATS Picks
    +885
    30-19 in Last 49 KC ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Cornerbacks Denzel Ward and Kevin Johnson should be back from the COVID-19 list in time to face Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Cleveland also is getting back guard Joel Bitonio, though Jack Conklin (hamstring) is iffy. The Chiefs haven't beaten anyone by more than six points since their Week 8 stomping of the Jets. K.C. gives up 4.5 yards per carry, so Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt should have success. Chiefs win, Browns cover.

    Pick Made: Jan 13, 4:52 am UTC

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    Team Injuries

    Cleveland Browns
    Saturday, Dec 09, 2023
    Avatar
    WR
    Amari Cooper
    ConcussionQuestionable
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    CB
    Cameron Mitchell
    HamstringQuestionable
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    OT
    Dawand Jones
    KneeOut
    Monday, Dec 04, 2023
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    CB
    Denzel Ward
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Kansas City Chiefs
    Friday, Dec 08, 2023
    Avatar
    OT
    Donovan Smith
    NeckOut
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    LB
    Drue Tranquill
    ConcussionOut
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    RB
    Isiah Pacheco
    ShoulderOut