Yes, the Patriots are eliminated from playoff contention and list a whopping 20 guys as questionable, but the thinking is most of them will play (see news feed story). I simply don't trust the Bills now that they are giving more than 7 points; Buffalo doesn't have to care that much because it has wrapped up the AFC East and can't get the top seed in the conference. Thus, maybe we see Sean McDermott pull some of his key guys early. New England has covered its past four as a home dog.

Seeing the Pats as touchdown underdogs -- at home, no less -- is a shock to the senses. In this case, the margin is deserving. Coach Bill Belichick can trot out some lesser-used players to evaluate for the inevitable rebuild. Old reliable CB Stephon Gilmore (quad) has been ruled out, and others without injuries could be as well. Newton’s Law: Do not back a QB (Cam Newton) with more than twice as many interceptions as TD throws in his last 17 starts. No way he can match scores with an in-the-zone Bills offense.

The Patriots managed four field goals last week. And it wasn't a surprise. Buffalo has a tremendous offense and is facing a banged-up New England defense. Lay the points.