The lookahead line for this game was Chargers -1, but getting blasted by a not-great Patriots team swung it significant toward the Falcons, who didn't play well themselves last week. The best way to beat the Chargers defense is to run the ball, but Atlanta ranks 31st in yards per carry, while the passing game won't have the benefit of Julio Jones out wide. The Chargers are getting healthier on both sides of the ball and have one of the better QBs Atlanta will have faced during their run of improved play since firing Dan Quinn. I expect them to play hard for Anthony Lynn and beat a 4-8 Falcons team that shouldn't be favored on the road.

Yes, the Chargers embarrassed themselves last week in a 45-0 home loss to the Patriots, but over the past five seasons teams coming off a shutout loss have covered the next week nearly 74 percent of the time. In addition, the Falcons will be without star wideout Julio Jones, and Matt Ryan has not been close to the same QB when Jones has been out this season (or career). A few other key Falcons may miss the game as well, while the Chargers are pretty healthy.