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nfl - Sun 12/06 | 6:00 PM UTC | Nissan Stadium |

Cleveland @ Tennessee

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
TEN -4
-3.5
Over / Under
54
53
ML
TEN -210
-215

Matchup breakdown

Cleveland
Tennessee
PROJ SCORE
12-5
W-L
11-5
7-10
ATS W-L
7-9
10-7
O/U
12-3
0
PT DIFF
3.2
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Past Expert Picks

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Thu 12/3

Cleveland @ Tennessee | 12/06 | 6:00 PM UTC

Cleveland +6

WIN

Until last week, the Titans hadn't blown out anyone. Tennessee has six wins by six or fewer points, one win by seven points, and the 45-26 win at Indy in Week 12. Cleveland is getting Myles Garrett back. Grab the points.

+890 19-9-2 IN LAST 30 NFL ATS PICKS
+1257 20-7-1 IN LAST 28 TEN ATS PICKS

Stephen Oh

Data Scientist
Sat 12/5

Cleveland @ Tennessee | 12/06 | 6:00 PM UTC

Tennessee -5.5

LOSS

Tennessee's Derrick Henry has gotten on his patented late-season roll. Meanwhile Cleveland is 8-3 but has been outscored by 21 points this season; the Browns beat bad teams by a little, and lose to good teams by a lot. The Titans are a good team. My model says Tennessee covers almost 60 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value at this number.

Zack Cimini

Contrarian with Chutzpah
Sun 12/6

Cleveland @ Tennessee | 12/06 | 6:00 PM UTC

Tennessee -4

LOSS

For the third time in four years, Cleveland and Tennessee are meeting in the regular season. In the prior two matchups, the Titans limited the Browns to nine and 13 points, respectively. This included intercepting Baker Mayfield three times last year and returning one for a touchdown. Grab the Titans.

+180 4-2 IN LAST 6 TEN ATS PICKS
+180 4-2-1 IN LAST 7 CLE ATS PICKS

R.J. White

Super Stat Geek
Fri 12/4

Cleveland @ Tennessee | 12/06 | 6:00 PM UTC

Cleveland +5.5

WIN

The Titans are overvalued after beating an Indy team that was shorthanded on defense, and this is a prime letdown spot for them. I don't think the Tennessee defense is anywhere near good enough to shut the Browns down, ranking 28th in DVOA, 30th in red zone success rate and 32nd on third down. The Browns defense looked bad last week, but Myles Garrett is coming back, and that's a huge lift against a Titans offense missing Taylor Lewan. The Titans also listed a pair of key players questionable in Jeffery Simmons and Rodger Saffold. This spread should be around three, so I think we're getting plenty of value here.

+1670 78-55-5 IN LAST 138 NFL PICKS
+687 19-11-4 IN LAST 34 CLE ATS PICKS
+590 7-1 IN LAST 8 TEN ATS PICKS

Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
Sun 12/6

Cleveland @ Tennessee | 12/06 | 6:00 PM UTC

Tennessee -4

LOSS

The Titans have seen their fair share of struggles this season, but this is a team we know can beat good opponents -- and not just the Ravens and Colts in the last two weeks. The Browns, on the other hand, haven't beaten a team of quality since Oct. 11 and are 1-2 ATS as an underdog this year with a cover over the hapless Cowboys. Cleveland has also faced the second-easiest schedule in the NFL to date with seven of its eight wins coming against teams with losing records. All three of its straight up losses have come to winning teams by double digits. For me, the differentiator in this game is Ryan Tannehill and the Titans' passing offense. The line is back to the point where I'm comfortable backing Tennessee to win by a touchdown.

+498 15-9-1 IN LAST 25 NFL ATS PICKS
+638 13-6 IN LAST 19 TEN ATS PICKS
+510 14-8 IN LAST 22 CLE ATS PICKS

Hank Goldberg

Hammer
Wed 12/2

Cleveland @ Tennessee | 12/06 | 6:00 PM UTC

Cleveland +5.5

WIN

The Browns are 8-3. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are an outstanding tandem in the backfield, and Baker Mayfield to Jarvis Landry is a good combo. Derrick Henry was sensational for Tennessee last week but the Titans lost a couple key defenders who were good against the run. That will help Cleveland cover.

+535 23-16-4 IN LAST 43 NFL ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 CLE ATS PICKS
+185 3-1 IN LAST 4 TEN ATS PICKS

Cleveland

player
QBBakerMayfield
14.09fan duel$7,100
14.72draft kings$5,300
15.76cbs sports
player
RBNickChubb
13.17fan duel$8,700
15.37draft kings$7,700
12.62cbs sports
player
RBKareemHunt
10.25fan duel$6,300
11.8draft kings$5,400
9.3cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
B. MayfieldBaker Mayfield19/312211.300.930.1115.8
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
N. ChubbNick Chubb16.9890.495.30.1812.6
K. HuntKareem Hunt11.7500.294.30.149.3
B. MayfieldBaker Mayfield2.670.032.80.1115.8
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
J. LandryJarvis Landry4.7620.2413.30.057.8
R. HigginsRashard Higgins2.8420.2615.10.035.8
A. HooperAustin Hooper3.5350.2110.10.044.8
D. Peoples-JonesDonovan Peoples-Jones1.9290.1615.30.103.8
D. NjokuDavid Njoku2.1240.2711.60.024.1
H. BryantHarrison Bryant1.9200.2010.60.192.9
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
C. DSTCLE DST2.200.510.531.21.31.9

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Odell Beckham, Taywan Taylor, Ronnie Harrison, Dontrell Hilliard, Greedy Williams, Joe Jackson, Andrew Billings, JoJo Natson, Grant Delpit, Curtis Weaver
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

Tennessee

player
QBRyanTannehill
19.8fan duel$7,800
20.58draft kings$6,200
23.5cbs sports
player
RBDerrickHenry
17.65fan duel$10,000
20.5draft kings$9,200
17.05cbs sports
player
RBD`OntaForeman
2.47fan duel$4,800
2.63draft kings$4,000
2.34cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
R. TannehillRyan Tannehill19/282282.100.500.1423.5
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
D. HenryDerrick Henry21.41090.895.10.2317.1
R. TannehillRyan Tannehill3.2150.174.80.1423.5
D. ForemanD`Onta Foreman2.9130.074.60.032.3
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
A. BrownA.J. Brown4.4770.8517.40.0513.0
C. DavisCorey Davis4.7710.4115.00.059.6
A. FirkserAnthony Firkser3.0330.2511.10.034.8
A. HumphriesAdam Humphries3.2330.2810.40.035.0
K. RaymondKalif Raymond1.3290.1122.30.043.5
D. HenryDerrick Henry1.290.037.50.2317.1
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
T. DSTTEN DST1.400.950.641.51.72.9

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Adam Humphries, Jonnu Smith, Nick Westbrook, Jayon Brown, Adoree` Jackson, Kristian Fulton, Jadeveon Clowney, Dane Cruikshank, Chris Jackson, Kareem Orr, Larrell Murchison
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 12/06/2020 17:01 GMT