Past Expert Picks
The Jets have covered three of their last four games and they'll face a Miami team that could be missing two starting offensive linemen. No. 2 receiver Preston Williams is definitely out. This might be New York's best remaining shot for a win. Grab the points.
The Jets have been competitive in their last few games as the offense gets healthier and healthier, and there's a chance they'll have Sam Darnold back for this game. That makes them a massive value play at +7 against a Dolphins offense that has not looked good despite putting together a five-game win streak before Sunday's loss in Denver. Teams have been able to run all over the Dolphins, but a mediocre Broncos passing attack had no issues carving them up last week either. With Tua Tagovailoa struggling enough to get benched in-game for performance reasons, this has a great chance of being the Jets' first win of the season.
Miami is coming off of a loss where it benched Tua Tagovailoa down the back stretch of the game. However, Dolphins HC Brian Flores stated that Tua will start, and they still have full confidence in him. The Jets may have Sam Darnold back this week, and that should be good news under normal standards. But Joe Flacco and the offense has looked better without Darnold, so we'll see if that can continue with the franchise QB back under center.
Miami comes in with a lot on the line. With or without QB Tua Tagovailoa (thumb), the Dolphins are the superior team, and I like former Jets QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, who was having a fantastic season. The Jets are last in the NFL in offense and second-to-last in defense. QB Sam Darnold (shoulder) is expected to start, but he's rusty and stepping into a tough spot against the NFL's fourth-ranked scoring defense. The Dolphins are 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Jets are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 against the AFC East.