We took the Jags plus nearly two TDs last week in Green Bay (cashed) and will ride them again getting more than 10 -- frankly, I will always take a home dog getting double digits even with no/few fans in attendance. Also believe the Steelers might be looking ahead to a Thanksgiving Night showdown with bitter rival Baltimore.

Mike Tomlin gets notoriously conservative against lesser opponents on the road -- why put Big Ben at risk? This should hold true Sunday, especially with the Ravens on deck four days later. Look for the Under to improve to 41-13-1 in Pittsburgh's last 55 road games.

Pittsburgh had a scare against Dallas but then went out and thoroughly dominated Cincinnati from start to finish. Look for the Steelers to have a similar approach against a Jaguars team that is a bit one-dimensional in its approach. Facing a top-five defense, Jaguars rookie QB Jake Luton is in store for a long, tough day.

The Jags started five rookies against Green Bay and deployed seven more. Yet, for the second consecutive Sunday, they nearly pulled off a straight-up win, even with the anonymous Jake Luton at QB. The curve for week-to-week improvement is substantial. They run the ball effectively and could expose some vulnerability for Pittsburgh. Though NFL squads customarily do not look ahead, be aware that Baltimore awaits the Steelers next week.

The Jaguars have covered two straight with Jake Luton at quarterback. James Robinson has rushed for 99 yards in three straight games and will get a monster workload here to try to slow down the Steelers' pass rush. Since losing linebacker Devin Bush, the Steelers are giving up 4.9 yards per carry. Moreover, Pittsburgh could be caught looking ahead to its Thanksgiving rematch with Baltimore. On the road against lesser, non-division opponents, Mike Tomlin and Ben Roethlisberger tend to get wins, not blowouts. See Week 9 at Dallas. Grab the points.