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nfl - Sun 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC | NRG Stadium |

New England @ Houston

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
NE -2.5
+2.5
Over / Under
49.5
47.5
ML
NE -150
-115

Matchup breakdown

New England
Houston
PROJ SCORE
5-6
W-L
4-7
5-6
ATS W-L
4-7
4-7
O/U
5-5
-2.4
PT DIFF
-2.6
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Past Expert Picks

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
Fri 11/20

New England @ Houston | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

New England -1.5

LOSS

This matchup sets up well for New England, as the Texans allow an NFL-worst 5.2 yards per carry. Look for the Patriots to control the clock, force a couple turnovers and win their third straight. Lay the small number.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+640 24-16-2 IN LAST 42 HOU ATS PICKS

R.J. White

Super Stat Geek
Wed 11/18

New England @ Houston | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

New England -2

LOSS

With this line moving well off the lookahead number and the Patriots coming off a big win on national TV, this is the type of spot where I'd look to fade the favorite. But the matchup is just too perfect for the Pats, taking a dangerous rushing attack into a game against the league's worst run defense. The Texans have given up 200-plus rushing yards three times this year, and their only two wins have come against the Jaguars. I trust Bill Belichick to solve this limited offense and walk away with another win, and getting this number under 3 is a definite value for bettors, though I'm not ready to fully buy in to the Patriots being a playoff-caliber team.

+490 45-36-3 IN LAST 84 NFL PICKS
+170 5-3-1 IN LAST 9 HOU ATS PICKS

Hank Goldberg

Hammer
Wed 11/18

New England @ Houston | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

New England -2

LOSS

The Texans can't stop the run and New England is going to run it down their throats. That was a great game the Patriots played last week versus Baltimore. I think they build off that and cover this small number against the 2-7 Texans.

+195 3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS
+326 11-7 IN LAST 18 NE ATS PICKS
+275 5-2 IN LAST 7 HOU ATS PICKS

Kyle Akins

SportsBook Breakers
Sat 11/21

New England @ Houston | 11/22 | 6:00 PM UTC

Houston +2

WIN

New England played its first strong game in six weeks last week, but the weather lent itself to randomness. I have no confidence in this Patriots team as a road favorite and despite the record difference between these squads, I still believe Houston is the better team. New England is a road favorite coming off a win as a home dog of nearly a touchdown against Baltimore. Teams that are favored after winning by less than 17 points as a home dog last game are 86-108-2 ATS. Prediction: Houston by 10.

+390 5-1 IN LAST 6 NFL PICKS

New England

player
QBCamNewton
21.17fan duel$7,600
22.19draft kings$6,200
23.04cbs sports
player
RBDamienHarris
10.72fan duel$5,800
12.36draft kings$5,700
10.55cbs sports
player
RBRexBurkhead
10.01fan duel$5,900
11.46draft kings$4,600
8.86cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
C. NewtonCam Newton20/302291.400.930.1223.0
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
D. HarrisDamien Harris15.8840.335.30.1610.6
C. NewtonCam Newton8.8370.584.20.1223.0
R. BurkheadRex Burkhead7.5320.284.30.108.9
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
J. MeyersJakobi Meyers5.3680.2612.90.068.4
D. ByrdDamiere Byrd3.4450.1713.20.045.5
N. HarryN`Keal Harry3.2300.389.50.155.3
J. WhiteJames White3.4300.188.70.086.2
R. BurkheadRex Burkhead2.3210.339.00.108.9
R. IzzoRyan Izzo1.5210.0714.10.142.3
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
N. DSTNE DST3.341.150.741.51.72.2

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Rex Burkhead, Dalton Keene, Matt LaCosse, Marqise Lee, Dont`a Hightower, Patrick Chung, Brandon Copeland, Brandon Bolden, Shilique Calhoun, Dan Vitale, Beau Allen
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

Houston

player
QBDeshaunWatson
22.15fan duel$7,700
23.95draft kings$6,500
24.25cbs sports
player
RBDukeJohnson
10.8fan duel$6,000
12.94draft kings$5,400
9.35cbs sports
player
RBC.J.Prosise
1.88fan duel$4,500
2.27draft kings$4,000
1.45cbs sports
PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
D. WatsonDeshaun Watson23/342861.601.100.0824.3
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
D. JohnsonDuke Johnson12.5510.274.10.209.4
D. WatsonDeshaun Watson5.7330.315.70.0824.3
C. ProsiseC.J. Prosise3.1100.123.20.351.5
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
W. FullerWill Fuller5.5850.5615.40.0611.9
B. CooksBrandin Cooks5.2770.3214.80.059.8
R. CobbRandall Cobb3.9480.2012.30.046.0
J. AkinsJordan Akins2.7320.1411.80.034.0
D. FellsDarren Fells2.2270.3212.30.024.7
K. StillsKenny Stills1.8260.1814.70.023.7
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
H. DSTHOU DST1.450.950.611.51.82.2

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

David Johnson, Randall Cobb, Benardrick McKinney, Michael Thomas, Brennan Scarlett, P.J. Hall, Dylan Cole, Kyle Emanuel, Eddie Vanderdoes
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 11/22/2020 16:49 GMT