The Titans did as anticipated here and took down the Patriots last week, a nice feather in the cap for Mike Vrabel and Ryan Tannehill. But the Ravens are a different beast. Baltimore has not lost since Sept. 28 and is 9-1 ATS since Oct. 19. It is healthy (save for Mark Ingram) and rested with two weeks to prepare for Tennessee. No. 6 seeds are 0-8 vs. No. 1 seeds in the NFL Playoffs over the last eight seasons, 3-3-2 against the spread. If the Ravens concentrate on limiting Derrick Henry (as much as possible), they should do just fine against Tannehill. Baltimore should be out in front significantly late, hopefully enough to hold off a backdoor cover effort considering the large number.

All the Ravens have done is win 12 straight games, cover eight of their last nine games and outscored their opponents by 15.6 points per game. That is the third best differential over the past 25 years. Meanwhile Tennessee's offensive line is the worst in the NFL at protecting its quarterbacks. The bottom line is that if Baltimore can stop the Titans from running the football, Tennessee's passing game will suffer. I'll bet on the Ravens' ability to do that.

There may be some light rain, but the wind shouldn't be more than 10 miles per hour and the temperature will be about 60 degrees, which should help both of these offenses do their thing. Both teams will have success on the ground, but what really gets this game Over the total is what A.J. Brown and Ryan Tannehill have been doing the last 11 weeks, which have helped nine of those 11 games get Over. The Ravens averaged 31 points per game. Over is the play.

Both of these offenses are centered around running the ball, even if they go about it in different ways. That makes the Under the most appealing option on the board because I'm not willing to trust anybody as a double-digit favorite in a playoff game, nor am I excited about betting against the Ravens.

A banged-up Mark Ingram does take a little bit of bite out of the Ravens offense. But, as long as the biggest dog of them all, Lamar Jackson, is under center, there shouldn't be any issues offensively with the Ravens. Tennessee will need a much better effort this week from QB Ryan Tannehill, as the Titans can't depend on just Derrick Henry to keep this game close, much less knock out the Ravens. Take Baltimore.

Derrick Henry has carried 66 times the past two weeks, and now he's facing a better run defense than the units he torched in Houston and New England. And this Ravens defense is completely rested. Since Week 4, Baltimore has fielded the NFL's best defense. The Ravens' blitzes will bother Ryan Tannehill. On the other side, Tennessee's defense struggles to contain mobile quarterbacks. Lay the points.

The Titans are legit, and they certainly deserve to be here, even as the sixth seed. But the Ravens are just too good to fade, winners of 12 straight with a 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 games. The Ravens' one weakness comes defending the run, so the Titans do have a pathway to keeping this game close. But if they fall behind at all -- and that defense isn't as good as they looked against a bad Pats offense -- I think they're toast and Baltimore can name their score. Don't overlook how well the Ravens defense has played during their hot streak, holding five playoff teams to 20 points or less. There aren't many teams that can keep up with them.

Eight of the Ravens' last 10 wins have come by double digits, many via blowout. Lamar Jackson accounted for 43 TDs in 15 games and I don't think Tennessee has the defense to cop with him. Baltimore led the NFL in scoring (33.2). I didn't like the way Ryan Tannehiill looked last week. Derrick Henry can only do so much. Lay the points.

If RB Derrick Henry keeps running like a man possessed, Tennessee can stay within a TD. Yet, this phenomenal trend cannot last indefinitely. When Henry becomes mortal again, QB Ryan Tannehill will be tested -- and he could flunk. Tannehill has been sharp since Henry heated up, but that’s partly because the ground game has made passing easier. Baltimore limited foes to the league’s second-lowest reception rate this season. On defense, the Titans allowed big gains to running QBs -- hello, Lamar Jackson -- and Ravens RB Mark Ingram is rested after a pair of idle weeks.