There's a lot of love for Minnesota in this spot, but it's not coming from me. Though I have Seattle as a two-point favorite, I'm still under the key number here. The Vikings defense is a shell of its former self, and the Seahawks have the clear homefield advantage. Besides that, though, I love Russell Wilson in this spot, and the weather should not be a deterrent toward a potentially high-scoring affair. If Seattle can somewhat contain Dalvin Cook, the game is there for it to win.

It’s beautiful football weather in Seattle on Monday. Chilly, but no chance of rain and no wind, which should help both offenses help get this one Over the total. The Vikings have gone Over in their last three and Seattle has in two of its last three. The Seahawks' average score this season has been 26-24. Over is the top play.

After playing three of four on the road, Seattle's schedule does not lighten up. The Seahawks return home to face a Minnesota team that has shown great balance on both sides of the ball. Look for the home crowd and QB Russell Wilson's improvisational play to push Seattle to the win. Grab the Seahawks here on a key number.

Kirk Cousins has done some work killing the narrative that he doesn't play well in primetime, or in big games this season, but that doesn't mean I'm taking him in this spot. In a battle of Russell Wilson vs. Kirk Cousins, I'm taking Wilson every time. Particularly when Russ is at home.

I don't think Minnesota's pass defense will hold up against Russell Wilson, who has Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf and Josh Gordon to throw to. Wilson loves the bright lights, while Kirk Cousins usually doesn't fare well in these spots. This is the type of game that Minnesota always finds a way to lose. Lay the field goal.

Kirk Cousins looks like he's shaken off the stigma that he wilts in big spots, but this is more about how good Seattle plays when the pressure is on. Since 2012, they're 21-7-2 ATS in primetime and 22-15-2 ATS against playoff teams. The Vikings defense hasn't been playing well over the last six weeks aside from beating up on Washington, and I would expect Russell Wilson to carve them up here. With Seattle's great home-field advantage, I think they have to be the pick, though I do believe we could see some 2.5s before we play them as I would expect sharp money on Minnesota at some point.