I know this spot favors the 49ers coming off long rest and with the Seahawks having played an overtime game. But how do you not take Russell Wilson getting this many points? The Seahawks have been 'dogs of six points or more just five times since Russell Wilson joined the team and covered them all, winning twice outright. Furthermore, they're 20-7-2 ATS in primetime since 2012, including 4-1 when 'dogs of more than a field goal. If they protect the ball against an opportunistic defense (and come on, it's Russell we're talking about), they should keep this one close.

An exciting matchup on Monday Night Football? I didn't know that was allowed under the current television deal. Well, whatever happened to let this game slide to Monday, it's fine with me. This total is too low, and this is a game that's going to be a shootout before it's a defensive struggle.

The Niners aren't a team you want to play anywhere this season, but especially not at Levi's Stadium. In San Francisco’s three home games, they beat the Browns by 28, the Panthers by 38, and the Steelers by four despite committing five turnovers. Russell Wilson somehow has the Seahawks at 7-2 despite a defense that ranks 27th in DVOA, per Football Outsiders, but it will be too hard even for Wilson to keep pace against a Niners defense that’s allowed the fewest yards and second-fewest points in the league. Lay the points.

The Seahawks opened up their No. 1 pass DVOA last week and looked nearly unstoppable in a win over the Bucs, and even though San Francisco has the No. 1 pass defense, I don't think they can completely shut down MVP front-runner Russell Wilson. The Seahawks also love running the ball, and the 49ers rank just 20th in DVOA there. The San Francisco offense shouldn't have an issue moving the ball on Seattle's unit, and I expect this one to be a shootout. Hop on now because the total is only going up.

San Francisco has had extra time to prepare, and the 49ers have gotten healthier on offense. Seattle has no defense. The Seahawks should have lost last week to Tampa Bay. Russell Wilson is going to meet Nick Bosa, and it's not going to be easy for the Seahawks. The 49ers didn't show everything against Arizona last week. This week they'll pull out all the stops.

Only one opponent has stayed within one score of the 49ers on their home turf on the way to a stunning 8-0 start. However, the NFC west rival Seahawks come to Santa Clara at 7-2 and in desperate need of a win in order to prevent the division race from becoming a runaway. With MVP candidate Russell Wilson at the helm, they stand as good a chance of any club to spoil San Francisco's undefeated campaign. At a minimum, there's value with the points in what rates to be a competitive game.

The Seahawks have gone 13-4-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings with the 49ers, but the 49ers were never 8-0 in any of those meetings. I think the 49ers are going score often on the Seattle defense like everyone else does (allows 25.6 ppg), but I also think Russell Wilson is going to keep pace as he has for most of the season on the road, where the Seahawks average a 27-28 score. Both meetings went Over the total last season. Over is the play.