I believe Gardner Minshew's progress from the 13-12 loss the Jaguars suffered in his first career start will be enough for them to win this game. The Texans defense has gotten progressively worse since that game, and they rank just 22nd in net yards per attempt. Even if the Jags are down in the second half, I think Minshew can come from behind and win against Houston's mediocre secondary. On the other side of the ball, the Jags front can have success against a Houston O-line that's getting healthier but still isn't 100 percent. Jags lean on their familiarity with this London trip and get the win.

The Jaguars have been better than expected offensively, and they should have a big day against Houston's depleted defense. Back the Jags to stay hot and win for the fourth time in their last five London games.

J.J. Watt is out, and Houston's secondary is banged up. The Jaguars make this trip every year and they've won three of their last four in London. Bill O'Brien will find a way to lose this. Look for big games from Leonard Fournette and Gardner Minshew.

These two teams played a 13-12 grind of a game early in the season, but here's why this week will be different. That was Gardner Minshew's first start, and the Jacksonville offense has been much better since, scoring 26+ in four of their last five games (with big yardage numbers to back it up). The Texans have seen their last four games go over 50 points as their offense keeps rolling while their defense falls apart. The injury to J.J. Watt surely won't help Houston's defense play any better, so I'm expecting a lot of points for the London crowd in this one.

This spread looks light by about three points, which is why I played the Texans. Perhaps the lower number is because J.J. Watt is out for the season, and WR Will Fuller is questionable, or maybe it’s because the Jaguars play at London often and are kind of the home team, but those reasons might equate to a one-point edge for the Jaguars. The Texans should still be favored by at least three points. Back the Texans to get the cover.